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Richard Levett
ModeratorNAP of the day
1320 Lingfield – All Dunn 5/4
Steadily progressing, ran to form first try over 1m last time out, acts on Polytrack, fair mark and open to further improvement.
ModeratorNAP of the day
1410 Newcastle – Mr Inspiration 11/8
Very promising, effective at 1m2f, acts on Tapeta, solid claims today!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1430 Taunton – Dancing Harry 11/4
Useful flat stayer, improving, suited by 2m3f, goes well on sound surfaces, returns from a break, big chance off lenient mark!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1448 Lingfield – Aramis Grey 13/8
In top order and has been banging on the door with two wins and three 2nd places on last five starts, stays 7f, acts on Polytrack, big chance to go one beter today!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1535 Lingfield – Helenn Clermont 6/4
5/4f and some promise on 5l 3rd on debut, first run on good to soft, expect further improvement today!
ModeratorGood value winning NAP yesterday (15/8 – 11/8SP)
1515 Southwell – Melwood Boy 6/4
Well clear of the ret on promising debut, stays 1m, acts on Tapeta, should improve further and looks the one to beat!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1600 Doncaster – Heroique De Maulde 15/8
Consistent, suited by 2m5f, goes well on sound surfaces, strong claims if improving his finishing!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1550 Fakenham – Bolsover Bill 7/4
Steadily improving, beaten by progressive rival last time out, effective at 2m5f, wil act on good ground, can continue progress, big chance!
ModeratorHi Andrew and welcome to the forum!
In terms of strike rate on Irish AW (Dundalk) it all depends on what you are looking for. I’ll illustrate a few examples then perhaps you can let me know exactly what your looking for and we can take it further.
Dundalk (the only AW track in Ireland) runs any thing from 5f, 6f, 1m, 1m2f etc, etc right up to 2m, and whilst there isn’t a one size fits all approach I can tell you that we have a higher strike rate of winners from the shorter trips compared to the longer trips (this won’t generally be a surprise as th field sizes are smaller on the shorter trips and probability is therefore more in our favour) we also have nearly twice as many 6f 1st rated winners in the spring than we do in the winter, but no less winners, just more 2nd and 3rd rated winners – why? no idea. It might just be that the quality of racing is slightly higher (more Class 3 and 4 as opposed to 5 and 6)
Let me know if thats useful, and also let me know how you use the Ratings as this might yet bear more fruit!
ModeratorIt wasn’t to be yesterday, well beaten by an 11/1SP outsider!!
No NAP today, all possibles are too short and the value isn’t their. Back tomorrow.
ModeratorVery nice winning NAP yesterday, returned from a break and hosed up by 5 lengths!
NAP of the day
1340 Ffos Las – Georgi Girl 6/4
Cosy debut winner appreciating the strong pace, suited by 2m, first run on soft, can follow up!
ModeratorWell his jumping did indeed hold up and ended up a cosy 7 length winner – nice!
NAP of the day
1535 Hereford – Only The Bold 7/4
Impresive winner on chase debut, 3m1f should suit, goes well with cut in the ground, head gear on, returns from a break but can follow up!
ModeratorBit off the pace yesterday!
NAP of the day
1600 Fontwell – Art Deco Evs
Improving with experience, latest form franked, suited by 2m6f, goes well with cut in the ground, should be in the mix if jumping holds up!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1335 Doncaster – Boothill 4/5
Sole defeat over fences at hands of Arkle favourite!, suited by 2m, acts on good ground, can be keen, tough to oppose despite penalty.
ModeratorNAP of the day
1335 Southwell – Mohatu 6/5
Didn’t get a clear run last time out but suited by the step up in trip over 1m2f, improver, acts on Tapeta, big chance today!
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