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Richard Levett
ModeratorNAP of the day
1535 Exeter – Red Dirt Road 5/4
Debut winner, held form under penalty lst time out, suited by 2m1f, acts on good ground, can go in on handicap debut!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1705 Ffos Las – Drash On Ruby 15/8
Consistent, came clear with progressive rival last time out, suited by 2m4f, goes well on sound surfaces, big chance, should be close!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1350 Ludlow – Fortunes Melody 11/4
Consistent, suited by 2m4f, acts on good, headgear on today, claims obvious now dropping back in grade.
ModeratorNAP of the day
1345 Ayr – Saladam 2/1
Improving with experience, effective at 2m4f and with give, strong claims on recent form!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1645 Kempton – Quick Draw 11/8
Progressive type, form franked, suited by 2m5f, acts on good, could complete the hat-trick!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1320 Lingfield – All Dunn 5/4
Steadily progressing, ran to form first try over 1m last time out, acts on Polytrack, fair mark and open to further improvement.
ModeratorNAP of the day
1410 Newcastle – Mr Inspiration 11/8
Very promising, effective at 1m2f, acts on Tapeta, solid claims today!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1430 Taunton – Dancing Harry 11/4
Useful flat stayer, improving, suited by 2m3f, goes well on sound surfaces, returns from a break, big chance off lenient mark!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1448 Lingfield – Aramis Grey 13/8
In top order and has been banging on the door with two wins and three 2nd places on last five starts, stays 7f, acts on Polytrack, big chance to go one beter today!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1535 Lingfield – Helenn Clermont 6/4
5/4f and some promise on 5l 3rd on debut, first run on good to soft, expect further improvement today!
ModeratorGood value winning NAP yesterday (15/8 – 11/8SP)
1515 Southwell – Melwood Boy 6/4
Well clear of the ret on promising debut, stays 1m, acts on Tapeta, should improve further and looks the one to beat!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1600 Doncaster – Heroique De Maulde 15/8
Consistent, suited by 2m5f, goes well on sound surfaces, strong claims if improving his finishing!
ModeratorNAP of the day
1550 Fakenham – Bolsover Bill 7/4
Steadily improving, beaten by progressive rival last time out, effective at 2m5f, wil act on good ground, can continue progress, big chance!
ModeratorHi Andrew and welcome to the forum!
In terms of strike rate on Irish AW (Dundalk) it all depends on what you are looking for. I’ll illustrate a few examples then perhaps you can let me know exactly what your looking for and we can take it further.
Dundalk (the only AW track in Ireland) runs any thing from 5f, 6f, 1m, 1m2f etc, etc right up to 2m, and whilst there isn’t a one size fits all approach I can tell you that we have a higher strike rate of winners from the shorter trips compared to the longer trips (this won’t generally be a surprise as th field sizes are smaller on the shorter trips and probability is therefore more in our favour) we also have nearly twice as many 6f 1st rated winners in the spring than we do in the winter, but no less winners, just more 2nd and 3rd rated winners – why? no idea. It might just be that the quality of racing is slightly higher (more Class 3 and 4 as opposed to 5 and 6)
Let me know if thats useful, and also let me know how you use the Ratings as this might yet bear more fruit!
ModeratorIt wasn’t to be yesterday, well beaten by an 11/1SP outsider!!
No NAP today, all possibles are too short and the value isn’t their. Back tomorrow.
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