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Richard Levett
ModeratorOf today’s selections the races that I will be betting on are;
Fontwell 1430 Royal Chief / Band of Thunder/ Jack Snipe
Fontwell 1500 Quadriller / Le Bacardy / Trapper Peak
Salisbury 1515 Marbooh / Horrah / Dubai Mission
Salisbury 1545 Justice Lady / Sacred Harp / Star Jeanie
Salisbury 1615 Bombilate / Sightline / Natural Beauty
Salisbury 1645 Speculator / Blenheim Warrior / Orators Joy
Lingfield 1950 Saumur / Rhythmical / Parnells DreamGLA
Richard Levett
ModeratorToday’s selections;
Fontwell 1400 On Albert Head / Westend Prince / Rolling Dough
Fontwell 1430 Royal Chief / Band of Thunder / Jack Snipe
Fontwell 1500 Quadriller / Le Bacardy / Trapper Peak
Fontwell 1530 Ritual of Senses / Kid Kalenisi /Silver Ticket
Fontwell 1600 For n Against / Billy two Tongues
Fontwell 1630 Kingscote Native / Argot / Do we like him
Fontwell 1700 Dawnie River / Badger’s Retreat
Fontwell 1730 Dragoon Guard / The Lampo Genie/ OurmanmassiniLingfield 1750 Her Terms / Limelite / Toy Theatre
Lingfield 1820 Noverre to go / Feeling Easy / Agerzam
Lingfield 1850 Copper Cavalier / El Duque / Little Indian
Lingfield 1920 Wrapped / Alyday /Warrior Prince
Lingfield 1950 Saumur / Rhythmical/ Parnell Dream
Lingfield 2020 Tempuran / Rainbow Pride / Kawartha
Lingfield 2050 Owners Day / Nosey Barker / Shining RomeoSalisbury 1415 Mr Hobbs / Hellofahaste / Angel Down
Salisbury 1445 Nightingale Valley / See you when / Ehtiraas
Salisbury 1515 Marbooh / Horrah / Dubai Mission
Salisbury 1545 Justice Lady / Sacred Harp / Star Jeanie
Salisbury 1615 Bimbilate / Sightline / Natural Beauty
Salisbury 1645 Speculator / Blenheim Warrior / Oratorious Joy
Salisbury 1715 Moi Aussie / Constable Clouds / Bahamian Boy
Salisbury 1745 Duke of North / Pandar / Doctor BongSouthwell 1805 Ever So Much / French seventy five / Celtic Intrigue
Southwell 1835 Valseur du Granvil / Queen Spud / Denali Highway
Southwell 1905 Native Display / Grand Enterprise / Cut the Corner
Southwell 1935 Middletons Minx / Wishing Wind / Time is money
Southwell 2005 Dexcite / Ask paddy
Southwell 2035 Bon chic / Western Way
Southwell 2105 Take to Heart / Frobisher Bay / Bomber CommandRemember 1st rating 1 point win, 2nd and 3rd ratings dutch level stakes, if odds of 2nd, 3rd ratings over 5/1 then e/w bet (2 points total)
Richard Levett
ModeratorMy results from yesterday are as follows;
Ayr 1400 Masham Star / Wigan Warrior Won, 3rd
Ayr 1430 Glengarnock / Bay Mirage / Sophie P 2nd, 6th, NR
Ayr 1500 Testa Ross / Grandest / Intensified Won, Placed 2nd, 6th
Ayr 1530 Cymraeg Bounty / Millefiori / Muqarred Won, 3rd, Placed 2nd
Ayr 1600 Sure we can / Haidees Reflection / Eastern Dragon Placed 2nd, 8th, Placed 3rd
Ayr 1630 Intisaab / Classic Seniority / Mo Henry Won, 3rd, Placed 2nd
Ayr 1700 Merchant of Dubai / Question of Faith / Chauvelin 5th, 3rd, Placed 2ndBrighton 1415 Peachey Carnan / King of CastilLa / Baystone Hill 4th, 7th, Placed 2nd
Brighton 1445 Spirit of Rosanna / Soaring Spirits / Comanche NR, Won, 4th
Brighton 1515 Lord Reason / Persian Breeze / Shimba Hills Placed 2nd, 5th, NR
Brighton 1545 Steppe Daughter / Knight Music Placed 2nd, Won
Brighton 1615 Tyrannical / Broughtons Mystery / Lady Rocka 5th, 10th, Won (@ 33/1)
Brighton 1645 Carpe Diem Lady / Heads you win / Run for all Placed 2nd, PU, 9th
Brighton 1715 Ashford Island / Wild Flower / The Reel Way Placed 2nd, UR, 4thPontefract 1845 Teofonic / Snuggy / Poker Alice Won, Placed 3rd, PU
Pontefract 1915 Knights Parade / Water clock / Dagash 10th, Placed 2nd, Placed 3rd
Pontefract 1945 My Amigo / Gallipoli /Bossipop NR, Placed 2nd, Placed 3rd
Pontefract 2015 Sabre Squadron / Renfrew Street / Fisher Green NR, Won, NR
Pontefract 2045 Koptoon / Penny Royale / Red Harry, Placed 3rd, 5th, 15th
Pontefract 2115 Oriental Relations / Eternitys Gate / Ambitious Icarus 6th, Won, 5thWindsor 1800 Golden Guest / Bin Battuta / Silent Echo 8th, Won, 7th
Windsor 1830 Mount ShamSan / My Lord / King Torus Placed 2nd, Won, 6th
Windsor 1900 Prendergast Hill / Oasis Spear/ Gold Sands Placed 2nd, Won, 8th
Windsor 1930 Sparring / Baadi 4th, NR
Windsor 2000 Dark Shot / Anna Barkova / Raising Sand Placed 2nd, NR, Won
Windsor 2030 Papa Luigi / Hit Man / Highly Sprung Won, 4th, 5th
Windsor 2100 Dheban / Silken Skies / Wiley Post 7th, Placed 2nd, 4thTotal of 27 races
15 winners (55.55% SR)
6 1st rated winners (22.2%SR)
7 2nd rated winners (25.93%SR)
2 3rd rated winners (7.4%SR)18 placed (66.66%SR)
Richard Levett
ModeratorHi Elisabeth, I don’t bet on every race, I generally narrow it down to between 5 – 10 strong contenders for the day, sometimes fewer depending on how the cards look. Yesterday for example I bet on 10 races and made a 24.6 points profit, had I bet on all races throughout the day the profit would have been 8.38 points (£20 per point) so I came away with £492 profit as opposed to £167.60. Either way, not a bad day!
I will continue to put up my selections and those that I believe to be the strongest bets of the day (these are the ones that I will be betting on) the rest like Matt’s ratings are their for you to make your own assessment. Hope that helps?
Richard Levett
ModeratorIf anyone has been following my selections today you’d have a very good payday!!! Lady Rocka Brighton 1615 wins at 12/1, I had this horse backed @ £20 e/w this morning @ 33/1, just returned £792.00, happy days, so far 7 winners too, really good start to the week.
Richard Levett
ModeratorToday’s selections
Ayr 1400 Masham Star / Wigan Warrior
Ayr 1430 Glengarnock / Bay Mirage / Sophie P
Ayr 1500 Testa Ross / Grandest / Intensified
Ayr 1530 Cymraeg Bounty / Millefiori / Muqarred
Ayr 1600 Sure we can / Haidees Reflection / Eastern Dragon
Ayr 1630 Intisaab / Classic Seniority / Mo Henry
Ayr 1700 Merchant of Dubai / Question of Faith / ChauvelinBrighton 1415 Peachey Carnan / King of CastilLa / Baystone Hill
Brighton 1445 Spirit of Rosanna / Soaring Spirits / Comanche
Brighton 1515 Lord Reason / Persian Breeze / Shimba Hills
Brighton 1545 Steppe Daughter / Knight Music
Brighton 1615 Tyrannical / Broughtons Mystery / Lady Rock
Brighton 1645 Carpe Diem Lady / Heads you win / Run for all
Brighton 1715 Ashford Island / Wild Flower / The Reel WayPontefract 1845 Teofonic / Snuggy / Poker Alice
Pontefract 1915 Knights Parade / Water clock / Dagash
Pontefract 1945 My Amigo / Gallipoli /Bossipop
Pontefract 2015 Sabre Squadron / Renfrew Street / Fisher Green
Pontefract 2045 Koptoon / Penny Royale / Red Harry
Pontefract 2115 Oriental Relations / Eternitys Gate / Ambitious IcarusWindsor 1800 Golden Guest / Bin Battuta / Silent Echo
Windsor 1830 Mount ShamSan / My Lord / King Torus
Windsor 1900 Prendergast Hill / Oasis Spear/ Gold Sands
Windsor 1930 Sparring / Baadi
Windsor 2000 Dark Shot / Anna Barkova / Raising Sand
Windsor 2030 Papa Luigi / Hit Man / Highly Sprung
Windsor 2100 Dheban / Silken Skies / Wiley PostStrategy is one point win bet 1st rating, 1 point level stake dutch on 2nd/3rd rating. If odds over 5/1 on 2nd/3rd rating 1 point e/w ( 2 bets)
Richard Levett
ModeratorOnly race selection on a poor days racing (1st rated 1 point win, 2nd and 3rd rated 1 point level stakes e/w)
Goodwood 1420 Solveigs Song, Tatawa, Jacob Cats
Richard Levett
ModeratorMy results from yesterday’s selections;
Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus Won, Lost, Placed 3rd
Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School 4th, 6th, NR
Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode Won, 6th, Placed 2nd
Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon 5th, Placed 2nd, Won
Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada 3rd, Placed 2nd, Won
Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair Placed 2nd, 4th, 3rd
Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest 3rd, 4th
Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala NR, 4th, 5th
Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman 7th, NR, 6th
Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna Vassal 11th, 4th, NR10 races
4 winners
2 1st rated
2 3rd rated
4 placed ( 1 1st rated, 2 2nd rated, 1 3rd rated)
4 NR
40 % SR (20% SR 1st rated and 3rd rated)
40% SR placedRichard Levett
ModeratorRyan Moore to win the Coronation Cup on Found, Epsom 1510, currently 3/1 with most bookies.
Richard Levett
ModeratorSelections for today:
Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus
Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School
Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode
Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon
Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada
Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair
Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest
Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala
Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman
Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna VassalGLA
Richard Levett
ModeratorMorning all! Apologies for being so quiet on the forum of late (work and half term with the kids) stats will be bsck up and running on Monday and backdated for those that use them! On another note and armed with all these stats I’ve been developing a strategy that picks out the strongest contender (1st rated) and the 2nd and 3rd rated horses. The 1st is backed as a win bet 2nd and 3rd dutched to level stakes and if odds above 5/1, both 2nd and 3rd rated are e/w bets. I’ve paper traded this system for two weeks now upto last night. And surprisingly a 37.5% SR on the 1st rated and 66.67% SR on the 2nd & 3rd rated selections. Im going live on Monday and will post selections on here for you. Paper trade yourself or just keep a watching brief but thnk i might just be onto something here. At just £20 a point my profit over the last 2 weeks would have been £1355.
Richard Levett
Moderator2 from 2 at Fontwell, great start! Won’t say anymore, don’t wnat to jinx it!
Richard Levett
ModeratorJust been running some quick numbers for this month so far;
These are Mon – Fri (2/5 – 6/5, 9/5 – 13/5 & 16/5 – 20/5)
541 races
228 winners (42.14%SR)
152 1st rated winners (28.1%SR)
257 placed (47.5%SR)
123 1st rated placed (22.74%SR)
124 2nd rated placed (22.92%SR)Now statistically you have a higher chance of finding a winner on a Tuesday, 49.05%SR if you backed both selections and 35.85%SR if you backed 1st rated only.
The daily breakdown goes like this ( 1st SR is backing both selections (dutch) 2nd is 1st rated SR
Monday 36.73%SR – 25.51%SR
Tuesday 49.05%SR – 35.85%SR
Wednesday 44.04%SR – 24.77%SR
Thursday 47.62%SR – 31.43%SR
Friday 34.15% SR – 23.58%SRToday’s Monday, 25.51%SR 1st rated, consider dutching on Mondays.
Hope that helps!
Richard Levett
ModeratorLast week’s stats now published in Monthly stats section.
Richard Levett
ModeratorWell done Elisabeth fantastic profit! The way you’re going you’ll eclipse that daily total in no time. Well done you!
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