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  • in reply to: General TPS Chat #2563
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Of today’s selections the races that I will be betting on are;

    Fontwell 1430 Royal Chief / Band of Thunder/ Jack Snipe
    Fontwell 1500 Quadriller / Le Bacardy / Trapper Peak
    Salisbury 1515 Marbooh / Horrah / Dubai Mission
    Salisbury 1545 Justice Lady / Sacred Harp / Star Jeanie
    Salisbury 1615 Bombilate / Sightline / Natural Beauty
    Salisbury 1645 Speculator / Blenheim Warrior / Orators Joy
    Lingfield 1950 Saumur / Rhythmical / Parnells Dream

    GLA

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2562
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s selections;

    Fontwell 1400 On Albert Head / Westend Prince / Rolling Dough
    Fontwell 1430 Royal Chief / Band of Thunder / Jack Snipe
    Fontwell 1500 Quadriller / Le Bacardy / Trapper Peak
    Fontwell 1530 Ritual of Senses / Kid Kalenisi /Silver Ticket
    Fontwell 1600 For n Against / Billy two Tongues
    Fontwell 1630 Kingscote Native / Argot / Do we like him
    Fontwell 1700 Dawnie River / Badger’s Retreat
    Fontwell 1730 Dragoon Guard / The Lampo Genie/ Ourmanmassini

    Lingfield 1750 Her Terms / Limelite / Toy Theatre
    Lingfield 1820 Noverre to go / Feeling Easy / Agerzam
    Lingfield 1850 Copper Cavalier / El Duque / Little Indian
    Lingfield 1920 Wrapped / Alyday /Warrior Prince
    Lingfield 1950 Saumur / Rhythmical/ Parnell Dream
    Lingfield 2020 Tempuran / Rainbow Pride / Kawartha
    Lingfield 2050 Owners Day / Nosey Barker / Shining Romeo

    Salisbury 1415 Mr Hobbs / Hellofahaste / Angel Down
    Salisbury 1445 Nightingale Valley / See you when / Ehtiraas
    Salisbury 1515 Marbooh / Horrah / Dubai Mission
    Salisbury 1545 Justice Lady / Sacred Harp / Star Jeanie
    Salisbury 1615 Bimbilate / Sightline / Natural Beauty
    Salisbury 1645 Speculator / Blenheim Warrior / Oratorious Joy
    Salisbury 1715 Moi Aussie / Constable Clouds / Bahamian Boy
    Salisbury 1745 Duke of North / Pandar / Doctor Bong

    Southwell 1805 Ever So Much / French seventy five / Celtic Intrigue
    Southwell 1835 Valseur du Granvil / Queen Spud / Denali Highway
    Southwell 1905 Native Display / Grand Enterprise / Cut the Corner
    Southwell 1935 Middletons Minx / Wishing Wind / Time is money
    Southwell 2005 Dexcite / Ask paddy
    Southwell 2035 Bon chic / Western Way
    Southwell 2105 Take to Heart / Frobisher Bay / Bomber Command

    Remember 1st rating 1 point win, 2nd and 3rd ratings dutch level stakes, if odds of 2nd, 3rd ratings over 5/1 then e/w bet (2 points total)

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2560
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    My results from yesterday are as follows;

    Ayr 1400 Masham Star / Wigan Warrior Won, 3rd
    Ayr 1430 Glengarnock / Bay Mirage / Sophie P 2nd, 6th, NR
    Ayr 1500 Testa Ross / Grandest / Intensified Won, Placed 2nd, 6th
    Ayr 1530 Cymraeg Bounty / Millefiori / Muqarred Won, 3rd, Placed 2nd
    Ayr 1600 Sure we can / Haidees Reflection / Eastern Dragon Placed 2nd, 8th, Placed 3rd
    Ayr 1630 Intisaab / Classic Seniority / Mo Henry Won, 3rd, Placed 2nd
    Ayr 1700 Merchant of Dubai / Question of Faith / Chauvelin 5th, 3rd, Placed 2nd

    Brighton 1415 Peachey Carnan / King of CastilLa / Baystone Hill 4th, 7th, Placed 2nd
    Brighton 1445 Spirit of Rosanna / Soaring Spirits / Comanche NR, Won, 4th
    Brighton 1515 Lord Reason / Persian Breeze / Shimba Hills Placed 2nd, 5th, NR
    Brighton 1545 Steppe Daughter / Knight Music Placed 2nd, Won
    Brighton 1615 Tyrannical / Broughtons Mystery / Lady Rocka 5th, 10th, Won (@ 33/1)
    Brighton 1645 Carpe Diem Lady / Heads you win / Run for all Placed 2nd, PU, 9th
    Brighton 1715 Ashford Island / Wild Flower / The Reel Way Placed 2nd, UR, 4th

    Pontefract 1845 Teofonic / Snuggy / Poker Alice Won, Placed 3rd, PU
    Pontefract 1915 Knights Parade / Water clock / Dagash 10th, Placed 2nd, Placed 3rd
    Pontefract 1945 My Amigo / Gallipoli /Bossipop NR, Placed 2nd, Placed 3rd
    Pontefract 2015 Sabre Squadron / Renfrew Street / Fisher Green NR, Won, NR
    Pontefract 2045 Koptoon / Penny Royale / Red Harry, Placed 3rd, 5th, 15th
    Pontefract 2115 Oriental Relations / Eternitys Gate / Ambitious Icarus 6th, Won, 5th

    Windsor 1800 Golden Guest / Bin Battuta / Silent Echo 8th, Won, 7th
    Windsor 1830 Mount ShamSan / My Lord / King Torus Placed 2nd, Won, 6th
    Windsor 1900 Prendergast Hill / Oasis Spear/ Gold Sands Placed 2nd, Won, 8th
    Windsor 1930 Sparring / Baadi 4th, NR
    Windsor 2000 Dark Shot / Anna Barkova / Raising Sand Placed 2nd, NR, Won
    Windsor 2030 Papa Luigi / Hit Man / Highly Sprung Won, 4th, 5th
    Windsor 2100 Dheban / Silken Skies / Wiley Post 7th, Placed 2nd, 4th

    Total of 27 races
    15 winners (55.55% SR)
    6 1st rated winners (22.2%SR)
    7 2nd rated winners (25.93%SR)
    2 3rd rated winners (7.4%SR)

    18 placed (66.66%SR)

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2559
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Hi Elisabeth, I don’t bet on every race, I generally narrow it down to between 5 – 10 strong contenders for the day, sometimes fewer depending on how the cards look. Yesterday for example I bet on 10 races and made a 24.6 points profit, had I bet on all races throughout the day the profit would have been 8.38 points (£20 per point) so I came away with £492 profit as opposed to £167.60. Either way, not a bad day!

    I will continue to put up my selections and those that I believe to be the strongest bets of the day (these are the ones that I will be betting on) the rest like Matt’s ratings are their for you to make your own assessment. Hope that helps?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2554
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    If anyone has been following my selections today you’d have a very good payday!!! Lady Rocka Brighton 1615 wins at 12/1, I had this horse backed @ £20 e/w this morning @ 33/1, just returned £792.00, happy days, so far 7 winners too, really good start to the week.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2550
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s selections

    Ayr 1400 Masham Star / Wigan Warrior
    Ayr 1430 Glengarnock / Bay Mirage / Sophie P
    Ayr 1500 Testa Ross / Grandest / Intensified
    Ayr 1530 Cymraeg Bounty / Millefiori / Muqarred
    Ayr 1600 Sure we can / Haidees Reflection / Eastern Dragon
    Ayr 1630 Intisaab / Classic Seniority / Mo Henry
    Ayr 1700 Merchant of Dubai / Question of Faith / Chauvelin

    Brighton 1415 Peachey Carnan / King of CastilLa / Baystone Hill
    Brighton 1445 Spirit of Rosanna / Soaring Spirits / Comanche
    Brighton 1515 Lord Reason / Persian Breeze / Shimba Hills
    Brighton 1545 Steppe Daughter / Knight Music
    Brighton 1615 Tyrannical / Broughtons Mystery / Lady Rock
    Brighton 1645 Carpe Diem Lady / Heads you win / Run for all
    Brighton 1715 Ashford Island / Wild Flower / The Reel Way

    Pontefract 1845 Teofonic / Snuggy / Poker Alice
    Pontefract 1915 Knights Parade / Water clock / Dagash
    Pontefract 1945 My Amigo / Gallipoli /Bossipop
    Pontefract 2015 Sabre Squadron / Renfrew Street / Fisher Green
    Pontefract 2045 Koptoon / Penny Royale / Red Harry
    Pontefract 2115 Oriental Relations / Eternitys Gate / Ambitious Icarus

    Windsor 1800 Golden Guest / Bin Battuta / Silent Echo
    Windsor 1830 Mount ShamSan / My Lord / King Torus
    Windsor 1900 Prendergast Hill / Oasis Spear/ Gold Sands
    Windsor 1930 Sparring / Baadi
    Windsor 2000 Dark Shot / Anna Barkova / Raising Sand
    Windsor 2030 Papa Luigi / Hit Man / Highly Sprung
    Windsor 2100 Dheban / Silken Skies / Wiley Post

    Strategy is one point win bet 1st rating, 1 point level stake dutch on 2nd/3rd rating. If odds over 5/1 on 2nd/3rd rating 1 point e/w ( 2 bets)

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2545
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Only race selection on a poor days racing (1st rated 1 point win, 2nd and 3rd rated 1 point level stakes e/w)

    Goodwood 1420 Solveigs Song, Tatawa, Jacob Cats

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2544
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    My results from yesterday’s selections;

    Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus Won, Lost, Placed 3rd
    Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School 4th, 6th, NR
    Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode Won, 6th, Placed 2nd
    Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon 5th, Placed 2nd, Won
    Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada 3rd, Placed 2nd, Won
    Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair Placed 2nd, 4th, 3rd
    Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest 3rd, 4th
    Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala NR, 4th, 5th
    Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman 7th, NR, 6th
    Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna Vassal 11th, 4th, NR

    10 races
    4 winners
    2 1st rated
    2 3rd rated
    4 placed ( 1 1st rated, 2 2nd rated, 1 3rd rated)
    4 NR
    40 % SR (20% SR 1st rated and 3rd rated)
    40% SR placed

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2528
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Ryan Moore to win the Coronation Cup on Found, Epsom 1510, currently 3/1 with most bookies.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2527
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Selections for today:

    Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus
    Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School
    Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode
    Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon
    Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada
    Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair
    Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest
    Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala
    Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman
    Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna Vassal

    GLA

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2526
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Morning all! Apologies for being so quiet on the forum of late (work and half term with the kids) stats will be bsck up and running on Monday and backdated for those that use them! On another note and armed with all these stats I’ve been developing a strategy that picks out the strongest contender (1st rated) and the 2nd and 3rd rated horses. The 1st is backed as a win bet 2nd and 3rd dutched to level stakes and if odds above 5/1, both 2nd and 3rd rated are e/w bets. I’ve paper traded this system for two weeks now upto last night. And surprisingly a 37.5% SR on the 1st rated and 66.67% SR on the 2nd & 3rd rated selections. Im going live on Monday and will post selections on here for you. Paper trade yourself or just keep a watching brief but thnk i might just be onto something here. At just £20 a point my profit over the last 2 weeks would have been £1355.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2469
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    2 from 2 at Fontwell, great start! Won’t say anymore, don’t wnat to jinx it!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2354
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Just been running some quick numbers for this month so far;

    These are Mon – Fri (2/5 – 6/5, 9/5 – 13/5 & 16/5 – 20/5)

    541 races
    228 winners (42.14%SR)
    152 1st rated winners (28.1%SR)
    257 placed (47.5%SR)
    123 1st rated placed (22.74%SR)
    124 2nd rated placed (22.92%SR)

    Now statistically you have a higher chance of finding a winner on a Tuesday, 49.05%SR if you backed both selections and 35.85%SR if you backed 1st rated only.

    The daily breakdown goes like this ( 1st SR is backing both selections (dutch) 2nd is 1st rated SR

    Monday 36.73%SR – 25.51%SR
    Tuesday 49.05%SR – 35.85%SR
    Wednesday 44.04%SR – 24.77%SR
    Thursday 47.62%SR – 31.43%SR
    Friday 34.15% SR – 23.58%SR

    Today’s Monday, 25.51%SR 1st rated, consider dutching on Mondays.

    Hope that helps!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2353
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Last week’s stats now published in Monthly stats section.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #2301
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Well done Elisabeth fantastic profit! The way you’re going you’ll eclipse that daily total in no time. Well done you!

Viewing 15 posts - 3,151 through 3,165 (of 3,187 total)