Richard Levett

[Richard Levett]

Hi Elisabeth, I don’t bet on every race, I generally narrow it down to between 5 – 10 strong contenders for the day, sometimes fewer depending on how the cards look. Yesterday for example I bet on 10 races and made a 24.6 points profit, had I bet on all races throughout the day the profit would have been 8.38 points (£20 per point) so I came away with £492 profit as opposed to £167.60. Either way, not a bad day!

I will continue to put up my selections and those that I believe to be the strongest bets of the day (these are the ones that I will be betting on) the rest like Matt’s ratings are their for you to make your own assessment. Hope that helps?

[Richard Levett]

If anyone has been following my selections today you’d have a very good payday!!! Lady Rocka Brighton 1615 wins at 12/1, I had this horse backed @ £20 e/w this morning @ 33/1, just returned £792.00, happy days, so far 7 winners too, really good start to the week.

[Richard Levett]

Today’s selections

Ayr 1400 Masham Star / Wigan Warrior
Ayr 1430 Glengarnock / Bay Mirage / Sophie P
Ayr 1500 Testa Ross / Grandest / Intensified
Ayr 1530 Cymraeg Bounty / Millefiori / Muqarred
Ayr 1600 Sure we can / Haidees Reflection / Eastern Dragon
Ayr 1630 Intisaab / Classic Seniority / Mo Henry
Ayr 1700 Merchant of Dubai / Question of Faith / Chauvelin

Brighton 1415 Peachey Carnan / King of CastilLa / Baystone Hill
Brighton 1445 Spirit of Rosanna / Soaring Spirits / Comanche
Brighton 1515 Lord Reason / Persian Breeze / Shimba Hills
Brighton 1545 Steppe Daughter / Knight Music
Brighton 1615 Tyrannical / Broughtons Mystery / Lady Rock
Brighton 1645 Carpe Diem Lady / Heads you win / Run for all
Brighton 1715 Ashford Island / Wild Flower / The Reel Way

Pontefract 1845 Teofonic / Snuggy / Poker Alice
Pontefract 1915 Knights Parade / Water clock / Dagash
Pontefract 1945 My Amigo / Gallipoli /Bossipop
Pontefract 2015 Sabre Squadron / Renfrew Street / Fisher Green
Pontefract 2045 Koptoon / Penny Royale / Red Harry
Pontefract 2115 Oriental Relations / Eternitys Gate / Ambitious Icarus

Windsor 1800 Golden Guest / Bin Battuta / Silent Echo
Windsor 1830 Mount ShamSan / My Lord / King Torus
Windsor 1900 Prendergast Hill / Oasis Spear/ Gold Sands
Windsor 1930 Sparring / Baadi
Windsor 2000 Dark Shot / Anna Barkova / Raising Sand
Windsor 2030 Papa Luigi / Hit Man / Highly Sprung
Windsor 2100 Dheban / Silken Skies / Wiley Post

Strategy is one point win bet 1st rating, 1 point level stake dutch on 2nd/3rd rating. If odds over 5/1 on 2nd/3rd rating 1 point e/w ( 2 bets)

[Richard Levett]

Only race selection on a poor days racing (1st rated 1 point win, 2nd and 3rd rated 1 point level stakes e/w)

Goodwood 1420 Solveigs Song, Tatawa, Jacob Cats

[Richard Levett]

My results from yesterday’s selections;

Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus Won, Lost, Placed 3rd
Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School 4th, 6th, NR
Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode Won, 6th, Placed 2nd
Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon 5th, Placed 2nd, Won
Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada 3rd, Placed 2nd, Won
Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair Placed 2nd, 4th, 3rd
Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest 3rd, 4th
Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala NR, 4th, 5th
Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman 7th, NR, 6th
Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna Vassal 11th, 4th, NR

10 races
4 winners
2 1st rated
2 3rd rated
4 placed ( 1 1st rated, 2 2nd rated, 1 3rd rated)
4 NR
40 % SR (20% SR 1st rated and 3rd rated)
40% SR placed

[Richard Levett]

Ryan Moore to win the Coronation Cup on Found, Epsom 1510, currently 3/1 with most bookies.

[Richard Levett]

Selections for today:

Musselburgh 1340 Ordinal, She’s Electric, Arteus
Doncaster 1355 Magical Forest, Hi Milady, Comedy School
Doncaster 1430 Futoon, Dacoity, Evenlode
Epsom 1435 Merry Me, Sayana, Epsom Icon
Musselburgh 1450 Boater, Poets Society, Kocallada
Worcester 1455 Miss Tenacious, Purple n Gold, Festive Affair
Doncaster 1710 Breakable, Mothers Finest
Lingfield 1750 insight, Shirakata, Megallala
Newcastle 1940 Dukes Den, Summerlee, Yorkshireman
Newcastle 2110 Aires Boy, Orient Class, Lady Joanna Vassal

GLA

[Richard Levett]

Morning all! Apologies for being so quiet on the forum of late (work and half term with the kids) stats will be bsck up and running on Monday and backdated for those that use them! On another note and armed with all these stats I’ve been developing a strategy that picks out the strongest contender (1st rated) and the 2nd and 3rd rated horses. The 1st is backed as a win bet 2nd and 3rd dutched to level stakes and if odds above 5/1, both 2nd and 3rd rated are e/w bets. I’ve paper traded this system for two weeks now upto last night. And surprisingly a 37.5% SR on the 1st rated and 66.67% SR on the 2nd & 3rd rated selections. Im going live on Monday and will post selections on here for you. Paper trade yourself or just keep a watching brief but thnk i might just be onto something here. At just £20 a point my profit over the last 2 weeks would have been £1355.

[Richard Levett]

2 from 2 at Fontwell, great start! Won’t say anymore, don’t wnat to jinx it!

[Richard Levett]

Just been running some quick numbers for this month so far;

These are Mon – Fri (2/5 – 6/5, 9/5 – 13/5 & 16/5 – 20/5)

541 races
228 winners (42.14%SR)
152 1st rated winners (28.1%SR)
257 placed (47.5%SR)
123 1st rated placed (22.74%SR)
124 2nd rated placed (22.92%SR)

Now statistically you have a higher chance of finding a winner on a Tuesday, 49.05%SR if you backed both selections and 35.85%SR if you backed 1st rated only.

The daily breakdown goes like this ( 1st SR is backing both selections (dutch) 2nd is 1st rated SR

Monday 36.73%SR – 25.51%SR
Tuesday 49.05%SR – 35.85%SR
Wednesday 44.04%SR – 24.77%SR
Thursday 47.62%SR – 31.43%SR
Friday 34.15% SR – 23.58%SR

Today’s Monday, 25.51%SR 1st rated, consider dutching on Mondays.

Hope that helps!

[Richard Levett]

Last week’s stats now published in Monthly stats section.

[Richard Levett]

Well done Elisabeth fantastic profit! The way you’re going you’ll eclipse that daily total in no time. Well done you!

[Richard Levett]

Thanks guys for taking the time with the show of hands yesterday, nice to know so many of you are plugging away trying to find an angle. To those of you currently struggling, don’t give up, share your thoughts and feelings on here, there’s plenty of old sages on here with experience and advice. There’s no magic bullet or holy grail just an inner wisdom and a bit of luck!

Ask questions, challenge those that post their tips for the day, what did they see that you didn’t! And remember there’s no such thing as a stupid question whether your a novice or been doing this for millenia!

Remember, when the fun stops – stop!

Here’s to another profitable day ?

GLA

[Richard Levett]

Goodwood 1530 Bedrock £10 win bet @ 5/1

[Richard Levett]

Goodwood 1420, Arnold Lane £10 e/w currently 12/1, get on it!

[Author]

Posts