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Richard Levett
ModeratorNot a great day at all yesterday, today, typical Saturday with lots of rain about, so tread carefully.
Chester
1340 Glorious Artist / Kiribati
1415 Sir Billy Wright / Alejandro
1450 Foundation / Your kidding
1525 Tahoo / Harome
1555 Rainbow Rebel / De Veer Cliffs
1630 Masamah / Come on Dave
1700 Hereawl / Blakeney PointLingfield
1350 Corpus Chores ter / Lady Blanc
1425 Fearless Lad / Fast Play
1500 Unforgettable Filly / Midnight Vixen
1535 Surety / Art Echo
1610 Aljuljalah / Salateen
1640 He’s No Saint / King of Spin
1715 Inclination / Pretty BubblesDoncaster
1400 Rivet / Thunder Snow
1435 Humidor / Pipers note
1510 Richard Pankhurst / Toormore
1545 Idaho / Housesofparliament
1620 Harbour Master / Khalida
1650 Banksea / Up in Lights
1725 Renfrew Street / Moorside
1800 Gold Trail / Stars over the SeaBath
1410 Secret Witness / Kaaber
1425 Mambo Spirit / Beau Mistral
1520 Alligator / Sir Plato
1550 Good Omen / Whip Nae Nae
1625 Rosie Royale / Ballyfarsoon
1655 Miss Minuty / British Embassy
1730 Ducissa / Zippy
1805 Cersei / Pine RidgeMusselburgh
1615 Twentysvnthlqncers / See Vernon
1645 Soundstrings / Lincoln Rocks
1720 Foxy Boy / Yorkshiredebut
1755 Mujaamil / Planetaria
1830 Introductory / Novalina
1900 Henry Smith / Neuf des Couers
1930 Gypsy Major / Dark CommandRichard Levett
ModeratorA mixed bag yesterday and one for the 2nd and 3rd places where we recorded 18 from 28. Only 10 winners, so hopefully we can improve on that today.
Sandown
1345 Big Lachie / Eskimo Bay
1420 Silverrica / Quick March
1455 Too Many shots / Good Craic
1530 Haggie / Shawaahid
1605 Aristocratic / Little Miss Kodi
1640 Cloudberry / Postbag
1715 Sennockian / Pure FantasyDoncaster
1355 Nemoralia / Lumiere
1430 Tis Marvelous / Equimou
1505 Wall of Fire / Fabricate
1540 Quest for More / Sheikhzayedroad
1615 Taamol / Salsabeel
1650 Khairaat / Indulged
1725 Nuno Tristan / Normandy BarriereChester
1405 Thorndyke / Max zorin
1440 Tawny Port / Cullingworth
1515 Viscount Barfield / Gabriel the Tiger
1550 Playful sound / Cote d’Azur
1625 Canonbury / Flower of Love
1700 Chocala / Gabriel king
1730 Ellaal / Character OnesieSalisbury
1610 Prerogative / Dark Destroyer
1645 Singing Sands / Feel the Vibes
1720 Intimately / Lucky Louie
1750 Guanabara Bay / Fleeting Dream
1820 Jumping Around / Prufrock
1850 Mr Singh / Amour de Nuit
1920 New world Power / SkeapingEach way bets
1420 Sandown Swanton blue
1455 Sandown City Limits
1540 Doncaster Burmese
1615 Doncaster Majoris
1725 Doncaster Northgate Lad
1440 Chester Stoneyford Lane
1610 Salisbury Viking hoardRichard Levett
ModeratorWe’re on a roll 4 from 4!
Richard Levett
ModeratorAnd Fire Palace finishes 3rd at Donnie for a nice 11/1 place.
Richard Levett
ModeratorBoom, boom! 2 from 2, Glitter Girl wins @ Doncaster!
Richard Levett
ModeratorBoom!we are off to a winning start with Miss Layla @ Chepstow winning at 13/2, let’s hope for more!
Richard Levett
ModeratorJeff, these are my ratings not Matt’s.
Richard Levett
ModeratorMorning all! Firstly, congratulations to Matt and his wife on the birth of their daughter yesterday. Secondly, Matt will be off until Monday and has asked me to step into his shoes (metaphorically) until then. So without further ado, here are today’s ratings……..
Chepstow
1345 Subatomic / Miss Laila
1415 Russian Finale / Cinders
1450 The Big short / Bruny Island
1525 Auric Goldfinger / London Grammer
1600 Golden Wedding / Jabbaar
1635 Ali zoom / Satchville Flyer
1710 Desert cross / Master DancerDoncaster
1355 Glitter Girl / Fire Palace
1430 Blending / Kilmah
1505 Abingdon / Carnachy
1540 Spiritual Lady / Global Applause
1615 Poets Word / Central Square
1650 The Anvil / Hydroxide
1800 Fendale / Highland AcclaimEpsom
1405 Maldonado / Masonic
1440 Ripoli / Irish Optimism
1515 Pacolita / Cricklewood Green
1550 Alberta / Carthage
1625 So Celebre / Shufoog
1700 Honcho / InvadeChelmsford
1740 Boychick / Power Up
1810 Sun Angel / Chica De La Noche
1840 Mystique Heights / Hiorne Tower
1910 Honorina / Kylla Instinct
1940 Divisionist / Thundering Blue
2010 Verne Castle / Innocently
2040 Minminwin / PoplarEach Way bets
Chepstow 1525 Blast of Faith
Chepstow 1635 He’s My Cracker
Chepstow 1710 File of Facts
Doncaster 1355 Island Vision
Doncaster 1800 Little Palavar
Epsom 1700 Pharaoh JakeRichard Levett
ModeratorToday’s matched ratings.
CARLILSE
1.50 –
2.20 –
2.50 Euro Nightmare
3.25 Cuttin Edge / Time to Study
4.00 –
4.35 –
5.05 Wor Lass
DONCASTER
2.00 Akhlaaq
2.30 Andok
3.00 Pearl Secret
3.35 –
4.10 Roll On Rory
4.45 Mount Logan
5.15 –
UTTOXETER
2.10 Policy Breach / Skylander
2.40 Jimmy the Jetplane / In the Rough
3.15 Horseguardsparade / Kiwayu
3.50 Oh Land Bloom / Dovils Date
4.20 Coopers Friend / Strongly Suggested
4.55 Sarpech
KEMPTON
5.25 –
5.55 Lord Glenaghcastle
6.25 Helfire
6.55 Sir Compton
7.25 Eyeshine / Iconic Sky
7.55 –
8.25 All the Rage
8.55 Rubensian / Nucky Thompson
Richard Levett
ModeratorStart of St Leger today, should throw up some exciting racing, so here are my ratings for Doncaster, let’s see how many match Mattts!
1400 Akhlaaq / Dream of Dreams
1430 Andok / Appointed
1500 Muthmir / Pearl Secret
1535 Pike corner Cross / Mon Beau Visage / Sophisticated Heir
1610 War Glory / Roll on Rory
1645 Mount Logan/ Oasis Fantasy
1715 Pea Shooter / Love on the RocksRichard Levett
ModeratorToday’s matched ratings
REDCAR
1.50 Kings Gift
2.20 Justanotherbottle
2.50 You’re Cool
3.20 Vallarta
3.50 Beardwood
4.20 Manshood / Hyland Heather
4.50 Monjeni
5.20 Mime dance
LEICESTER
2.00 Coronet / Agathonia
2.30 Southern Belle
3.00 Chevalier Du Lac
3.30 English Summer
4.00 Musdam
4.35 Elucidation
WORCESTER
2.10 Rejaah
2.40 Kinari / Promanco
3.10 Alyasan
3.40 Robert Star / Trafalgar Rock
4.10 Angel Face / Solstalla
4.40 Fine Resolve
PERTH
5.10 Kashmiri Sunset
5.40 –
6.10 Mirsaale / Miro
6.40 Mountain King
7.10 –
7.40 Baysbrown
Richard Levett
ModeratorThree winners and three placed at Galway yesterday, so here we go for today…..
1625 Mr Antolini /Cable
1655 Dream baby / Baltimore Buzz
1725 Airlie Beach / Water Sprite
1755 Timmone / Freedom Status
1825 Hurricane Ben / Tocororo
1855 Shake it Up / Augest Benefit
1925 Borbeleta / The birdie CrowRichard Levett
ModeratorHi Jacqueline,
Wow, that’s a long list of restricted account’s, I’ve only ever lost one account (Stan James) as a rule I tend to try and lose 1% of my weekly winners in order to safeguard my accounts, and thus far it’s working.
Hopefully if your predominately using the exchanges and especially Betfair, you are one the lower tier of commission!
Richard Levett
ModeratorPerth 1440 Son of My Heart, odds shortening now 11/4, am I right in assuming if he odds stay at this or shorten further it’s a no bet on the JAYMAC System?
Richard Levett
ModeratorGood advice Paul, I posted on the blog a couple of weeks ago about protecting your bookie accounts, if you missed it, here it is again.
The first time it happens you feel proud. You think of it as a badge of honor. The second time it happens you laugh about. The third time and all the times after that, it’s just annoying.
Of course I am talking about betting account restrictions. Have you ever had a betting account completely shut down or had the amount you can stake on a selection severely limited?
This is no big deal when it’s just one account but when bookmaker after bookmaker start limiting your accounts it becomes a hassle and unfortunately this is the reality you have to deal with if you are a profitable gambler.
So what’s the solution? Use betting exchanges instead?
Well not quite, exchanges are a valuable tool in a gamblers arsenal but if you’ve still got some bookmaker accounts open there are somethings you can do to help prolong the life of your accounts.
But first lets look at why it is important to have as many open bookmaker accounts as possible.
Price is King
Having fewer bookmaker accounts makes it a lot harder to get the best available price on a selection.
Having multiple limited accounts could mean only having the option to take odds of 6.00 on a selection that is priced at 7.00 elsewhere. This may not sound like a lot but that sort of difference in odds can be the difference between being a profitable gambler and a losing gambler.
I’ll give you an example, there are two punters, one named Open Oliver, one named Restricted Ralph, each like to bet £100 a bet. Open Oliver has access to many bookmaker accounts and is not limited. He places 30 bets over the course of a month at odds of 7.00.
Restricted Ralph on the other hand is restricted from many bookmakers and only has a few accounts still open. Ralph places the same 30 bets over the course of the week as Oliver but Ralph only manages to get his bets on at odds of 6.00.
Out of the 30 bets 25 of them lose and 5 of them win.
Oliver loses £2500 on the losing bets but makes a profit of £3000 on his 5 winning bets giving him a total profit of £500.
Ralph on the other hand loses £2500 and only makes a profit of £2500 on the winning bets meaning he didn’t make any money at all.
Now in the example above I kept the odds the same on every bet for the sake of simplicity but the same thing applies no matter what odds you are betting at.
If you can’t take the best price you are missing out on value and that value could be the difference between winning and losing.
This is the main reason why it is vital to keep as many bookmaker accounts open as possible. Now lets discuss how you can go about doing just that.
Chain Reaction
When one bookmaker limits your account it often sets off a chain reaction of bookmaker after bookmaker closing your accounts. This is due to the fact that you will be putting the same amount of bets you normally place through a smaller number of accounts.
This increased volume going through your accounts often attracts the unwanted attention of the traders who will limit your account once they realize they won’t be making any money off of you.
In order to slow this process down I advise that you spread your bets around as much as you possibly can while still getting the best odds.
Betting less at each bookie will make you look more like a regular punter placing the odd bet here and there. Bookmakers don’t want to close accounts of regular punters as they are their bread and butter and where they make their money.
So long as you continue to look like a regular gambler no one will pay much attention to you and you will be able to carry on making money under the radar.
If you have the option of putting a bet through a larger bookmaker or a smaller lesser known bookmaker at the same odds always go with the smaller bookmaker.
Having your account shut down at a small bookmaker isn’t as a big a deal as having one of you big accounts shut down. It is important that you give priority to keeping your accounts with larger bookmakers open as long as possible as this is where you will make most of your money.
Bets that Bookies Love
Bookmakers love people who bet on short priced favorites. This is what your average Joe Blow punter bets on and this is where bookmakers make most of their money.
Now Joe Blow thinks the way to make money from betting is to bet on the winner. But Joe Blow always ends up losing money to the bookies because he bets on the favorite with out taking into account the odds he is getting.
If you bet on favorites who have a 50% chance of winning but only get odds of 1.91 you will lose money in the long run.
Bookmakers always price favorites with a large house edge because they know the average bettor will bet money on it regardless of the price if they think they are going to win.
The only one who wins in this scenario is the bookmakers and they’re laughing all the way to the bank.
Now I know what your thinking, this is all well and good but whats this got to do with winning money and keeping accounts open?
You can use these types of bets to trick the bookmaker into thinking your just a regular punter and not a successful gambler.
In order to do this you will need to find a close match between a bookmakers odds on a favorite and it’s lay odds at a betting exchange.
You will then back the favorite at the bookmaker with your regular stake size and lay the bet off on the exchange. (you can use an matched betting calculator to calculate your lay stake)
This will lock in a small loss but it is a small price to pay to prolong the life of your accounts.
I would recommend picking a football team who is usually going to be an odds on favorite and back then with your larger bookmaker accounts week after week for the best results.
Don’t Bet Big
Another main reason why profitable accounts get noticed and shut down is because you are betting to big with the bookmaker.
When you start betting big (£100 and over) the bookies are likely to take an interest in your account and start monitoring it. Now if you are a losing gambler who bets big this would not be a problem. The bookmaker would quickly suss you were a mug and be happy to take large bets from you knowing you will lose in the long run.
But if you happen to be a profitable gambler, having your account monitored is bad news. So how can you avoid this from happening to you?
Bookmakers are fairly comfortable with taking bets up to £50 and won’t bat an eyelid at them. These profitable bets can go mostly undetected and help you stay under the radar.
This give you a couple of options.
1. If you are happy with only betting £50 a pop then keep your bets to £50 or lower.
If £50 is not enough for you then you should consider option 2.
2. Spread your bets around bookmakers. Say you wanted to stake £100 on Horse A, then you could stake £50 at bookie 1 and another £50 at bookie number 2.
How Long Can I Expect an Account to Stay Open?
Following these steps is no magic bullet and if you are a profitable gambler your account will get shut down at some point. It is just a matter of when. Assuming you are a reasonably profitable gambler and you follow my steps above you can expect your accounts to have an average lifespan of several years.
Some bookies will close your accounts much quicker than that (less than a month) where as others will take a lot longer to shut you down.
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