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  • in reply to: General TPS Chat #4656
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Not a great day at all yesterday, today, typical Saturday with lots of rain about, so tread carefully.

    Chester

    1340 Glorious Artist / Kiribati
    1415 Sir Billy Wright / Alejandro
    1450 Foundation / Your kidding
    1525 Tahoo / Harome
    1555 Rainbow Rebel / De Veer Cliffs
    1630 Masamah / Come on Dave
    1700 Hereawl / Blakeney Point

    Lingfield

    1350 Corpus Chores ter / Lady Blanc
    1425 Fearless Lad / Fast Play
    1500 Unforgettable Filly / Midnight Vixen
    1535 Surety / Art Echo
    1610 Aljuljalah / Salateen
    1640 He’s No Saint / King of Spin
    1715 Inclination / Pretty Bubbles

    Doncaster

    1400 Rivet / Thunder Snow
    1435 Humidor / Pipers note
    1510 Richard Pankhurst / Toormore
    1545 Idaho / Housesofparliament
    1620 Harbour Master / Khalida
    1650 Banksea / Up in Lights
    1725 Renfrew Street / Moorside
    1800 Gold Trail / Stars over the Sea

    Bath

    1410 Secret Witness / Kaaber
    1425 Mambo Spirit / Beau Mistral
    1520 Alligator / Sir Plato
    1550 Good Omen / Whip Nae Nae
    1625 Rosie Royale / Ballyfarsoon
    1655 Miss Minuty / British Embassy
    1730 Ducissa / Zippy
    1805 Cersei / Pine Ridge

    Musselburgh

    1615 Twentysvnthlqncers / See Vernon
    1645 Soundstrings / Lincoln Rocks
    1720 Foxy Boy / Yorkshiredebut
    1755 Mujaamil / Planetaria
    1830 Introductory / Novalina
    1900 Henry Smith / Neuf des Couers
    1930 Gypsy Major / Dark Command

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4636
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    A mixed bag yesterday and one for the 2nd and 3rd places where we recorded 18 from 28. Only 10 winners, so hopefully we can improve on that today.

    Sandown

    1345 Big Lachie / Eskimo Bay
    1420 Silverrica / Quick March
    1455 Too Many shots / Good Craic
    1530 Haggie / Shawaahid
    1605 Aristocratic / Little Miss Kodi
    1640 Cloudberry / Postbag
    1715 Sennockian / Pure Fantasy

    Doncaster

    1355 Nemoralia / Lumiere
    1430 Tis Marvelous / Equimou
    1505 Wall of Fire / Fabricate
    1540 Quest for More / Sheikhzayedroad
    1615 Taamol / Salsabeel
    1650 Khairaat / Indulged
    1725 Nuno Tristan / Normandy Barriere

    Chester

    1405 Thorndyke / Max zorin
    1440 Tawny Port / Cullingworth
    1515 Viscount Barfield / Gabriel the Tiger
    1550 Playful sound / Cote d’Azur
    1625 Canonbury / Flower of Love
    1700 Chocala / Gabriel king
    1730 Ellaal / Character Onesie

    Salisbury

    1610 Prerogative / Dark Destroyer
    1645 Singing Sands / Feel the Vibes
    1720 Intimately / Lucky Louie
    1750 Guanabara Bay / Fleeting Dream
    1820 Jumping Around / Prufrock
    1850 Mr Singh / Amour de Nuit
    1920 New world Power / Skeaping

    Each way bets

    1420 Sandown Swanton blue
    1455 Sandown City Limits
    1540 Doncaster Burmese
    1615 Doncaster Majoris
    1725 Doncaster Northgate Lad
    1440 Chester Stoneyford Lane
    1610 Salisbury Viking hoard

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4629
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    We’re on a roll 4 from 4!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4626
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    And Fire Palace finishes 3rd at Donnie for a nice 11/1 place.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4624
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Boom, boom! 2 from 2, Glitter Girl wins @ Doncaster!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4622
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Boom!we are off to a winning start with Miss Layla @ Chepstow winning at 13/2, let’s hope for more!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4618
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Jeff, these are my ratings not Matt’s.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4607
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Morning all! Firstly, congratulations to Matt and his wife on the birth of their daughter yesterday. Secondly, Matt will be off until Monday and has asked me to step into his shoes (metaphorically) until then. So without further ado, here are today’s ratings……..

    Chepstow

    1345 Subatomic / Miss Laila
    1415 Russian Finale / Cinders
    1450 The Big short / Bruny Island
    1525 Auric Goldfinger / London Grammer
    1600 Golden Wedding / Jabbaar
    1635 Ali zoom / Satchville Flyer
    1710 Desert cross / Master Dancer

    Doncaster

    1355 Glitter Girl / Fire Palace
    1430 Blending / Kilmah
    1505 Abingdon / Carnachy
    1540 Spiritual Lady / Global Applause
    1615 Poets Word / Central Square
    1650 The Anvil / Hydroxide
    1800 Fendale / Highland Acclaim

    Epsom

    1405 Maldonado / Masonic
    1440 Ripoli / Irish Optimism
    1515 Pacolita / Cricklewood Green
    1550 Alberta / Carthage
    1625 So Celebre / Shufoog
    1700 Honcho / Invade

    Chelmsford

    1740 Boychick / Power Up
    1810 Sun Angel / Chica De La Noche
    1840 Mystique Heights / Hiorne Tower
    1910 Honorina / Kylla Instinct
    1940 Divisionist / Thundering Blue
    2010 Verne Castle / Innocently
    2040 Minminwin / Poplar

    Each Way bets

    Chepstow 1525 Blast of Faith
    Chepstow 1635 He’s My Cracker
    Chepstow 1710 File of Facts
    Doncaster 1355 Island Vision
    Doncaster 1800 Little Palavar
    Epsom 1700 Pharaoh Jake

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4584
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s matched ratings.

    CARLILSE

    1.50 –

    2.20 –

    2.50 Euro Nightmare

    3.25 Cuttin Edge / Time to Study

    4.00 –

    4.35 –

    5.05 Wor Lass

    DONCASTER

    2.00 Akhlaaq

    2.30 Andok

    3.00 Pearl Secret

    3.35 –

    4.10 Roll On Rory

    4.45 Mount Logan

    5.15 –

    UTTOXETER

    2.10 Policy Breach / Skylander

    2.40 Jimmy the Jetplane / In the Rough

    3.15 Horseguardsparade / Kiwayu

    3.50 Oh Land Bloom / Dovils Date

    4.20 Coopers Friend / Strongly Suggested

    4.55 Sarpech

    KEMPTON

    5.25 –

    5.55 Lord Glenaghcastle

    6.25 Helfire

    6.55 Sir Compton

    7.25 Eyeshine / Iconic Sky

    7.55 –

    8.25 All the Rage

    8.55 Rubensian / Nucky Thompson

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4578
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Start of St Leger today, should throw up some exciting racing, so here are my ratings for Doncaster, let’s see how many match Mattts!

    1400 Akhlaaq / Dream of Dreams
    1430 Andok / Appointed
    1500 Muthmir / Pearl Secret
    1535 Pike corner Cross / Mon Beau Visage / Sophisticated Heir
    1610 War Glory / Roll on Rory
    1645 Mount Logan/ Oasis Fantasy
    1715 Pea Shooter / Love on the Rocks

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4559
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s matched ratings

    REDCAR

    1.50 Kings Gift

    2.20 Justanotherbottle

    2.50 You’re Cool

    3.20 Vallarta

    3.50 Beardwood

    4.20 Manshood / Hyland Heather

    4.50 Monjeni

    5.20 Mime dance

    LEICESTER

    2.00 Coronet / Agathonia

    2.30 Southern Belle

    3.00 Chevalier Du Lac

    3.30 English Summer

    4.00 Musdam

    4.35 Elucidation

    WORCESTER

    2.10 Rejaah

    2.40 Kinari / Promanco

    3.10 Alyasan

    3.40 Robert Star / Trafalgar Rock

    4.10 Angel Face / Solstalla

    4.40 Fine Resolve

    PERTH

    5.10 Kashmiri Sunset

    5.40 –

    6.10 Mirsaale / Miro

    6.40 Mountain King

    7.10 –

    7.40 Baysbrown

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4556
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Three winners and three placed at Galway yesterday, so here we go for today…..

    1625 Mr Antolini /Cable
    1655 Dream baby / Baltimore Buzz
    1725 Airlie Beach / Water Sprite
    1755 Timmone / Freedom Status
    1825 Hurricane Ben / Tocororo
    1855 Shake it Up / Augest Benefit
    1925 Borbeleta / The birdie Crow

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4554
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Hi Jacqueline,

    Wow, that’s a long list of restricted account’s, I’ve only ever lost one account (Stan James) as a rule I tend to try and lose 1% of my weekly winners in order to safeguard my accounts, and thus far it’s working.

    Hopefully if your predominately using the exchanges and especially Betfair, you are one the lower tier of commission!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4530
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Perth 1440 Son of My Heart, odds shortening now 11/4, am I right in assuming if he odds stay at this or shorten further it’s a no bet on the JAYMAC System?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #4528
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Good advice Paul, I posted on the blog a couple of weeks ago about protecting your bookie accounts, if you missed it, here it is again.

    The first time it happens you feel proud. You think of it as a badge of honor. The second time it happens you laugh about. The third time and all the times after that, it’s just annoying.

    Of course I am talking about betting account restrictions. Have you ever had a betting account completely shut down or had the amount you can stake on a selection severely limited?

    This is no big deal when it’s just one account but when bookmaker after bookmaker start limiting your accounts it becomes a hassle and unfortunately this is the reality you have to deal with if you are a profitable gambler.

    So what’s the solution? Use betting exchanges instead?

    Well not quite, exchanges are a valuable tool in a gamblers arsenal but if you’ve still got some bookmaker accounts open there are somethings you can do to help prolong the life of your accounts.

    But first lets look at why it is important to have as many open bookmaker accounts as possible.

    Price is King

    Having fewer bookmaker accounts makes it a lot harder to get the best available price on a selection.

    Having multiple limited accounts could mean only having the option to take odds of 6.00 on a selection that is priced at 7.00 elsewhere. This may not sound like a lot but that sort of difference in odds can be the difference between being a profitable gambler and a losing gambler.

    I’ll give you an example, there are two punters, one named Open Oliver, one named Restricted Ralph, each like to bet £100 a bet. Open Oliver has access to many bookmaker accounts and is not limited. He places 30 bets over the course of a month at odds of 7.00.

    Restricted Ralph on the other hand is restricted from many bookmakers and only has a few accounts still open. Ralph places the same 30 bets over the course of the week as Oliver but Ralph only manages to get his bets on at odds of 6.00.

    Out of the 30 bets 25 of them lose and 5 of them win.

    Oliver loses £2500 on the losing bets but makes a profit of £3000 on his 5 winning bets giving him a total profit of £500.

    Ralph on the other hand loses £2500 and only makes a profit of £2500 on the winning bets meaning he didn’t make any money at all.

    Now in the example above I kept the odds the same on every bet for the sake of simplicity but the same thing applies no matter what odds you are betting at.

    If you can’t take the best price you are missing out on value and that value could be the difference between winning and losing.

    This is the main reason why it is vital to keep as many bookmaker accounts open as possible. Now lets discuss how you can go about doing just that.

    Chain Reaction

    When one bookmaker limits your account it often sets off a chain reaction of bookmaker after bookmaker closing your accounts. This is due to the fact that you will be putting the same amount of bets you normally place through a smaller number of accounts.

    This increased volume going through your accounts often attracts the unwanted attention of the traders who will limit your account once they realize they won’t be making any money off of you.

    In order to slow this process down I advise that you spread your bets around as much as you possibly can while still getting the best odds.

    Betting less at each bookie will make you look more like a regular punter placing the odd bet here and there. Bookmakers don’t want to close accounts of regular punters as they are their bread and butter and where they make their money.

    So long as you continue to look like a regular gambler no one will pay much attention to you and you will be able to carry on making money under the radar.

    If you have the option of putting a bet through a larger bookmaker or a smaller lesser known bookmaker at the same odds always go with the smaller bookmaker.

    Having your account shut down at a small bookmaker isn’t as a big a deal as having one of you big accounts shut down. It is important that you give priority to keeping your accounts with larger bookmakers open as long as possible as this is where you will make most of your money.

    Bets that Bookies Love

    Bookmakers love people who bet on short priced favorites. This is what your average Joe Blow punter bets on and this is where bookmakers make most of their money.

    Now Joe Blow thinks the way to make money from betting is to bet on the winner. But Joe Blow always ends up losing money to the bookies because he bets on the favorite with out taking into account the odds he is getting.

    If you bet on favorites who have a 50% chance of winning but only get odds of 1.91 you will lose money in the long run.

    Bookmakers always price favorites with a large house edge because they know the average bettor will bet money on it regardless of the price if they think they are going to win.

    The only one who wins in this scenario is the bookmakers and they’re laughing all the way to the bank.

    Now I know what your thinking, this is all well and good but whats this got to do with winning money and keeping accounts open?

    You can use these types of bets to trick the bookmaker into thinking your just a regular punter and not a successful gambler.

    In order to do this you will need to find a close match between a bookmakers odds on a favorite and it’s lay odds at a betting exchange.

    You will then back the favorite at the bookmaker with your regular stake size and lay the bet off on the exchange. (you can use an matched betting calculator to calculate your lay stake)

    This will lock in a small loss but it is a small price to pay to prolong the life of your accounts.

    I would recommend picking a football team who is usually going to be an odds on favorite and back then with your larger bookmaker accounts week after week for the best results.

    Don’t Bet Big

    Another main reason why profitable accounts get noticed and shut down is because you are betting to big with the bookmaker.

    When you start betting big (£100 and over) the bookies are likely to take an interest in your account and start monitoring it. Now if you are a losing gambler who bets big this would not be a problem. The bookmaker would quickly suss you were a mug and be happy to take large bets from you knowing you will lose in the long run.

    But if you happen to be a profitable gambler, having your account monitored is bad news. So how can you avoid this from happening to you?

    Bookmakers are fairly comfortable with taking bets up to £50 and won’t bat an eyelid at them. These profitable bets can go mostly undetected and help you stay under the radar.

    This give you a couple of options.

    1. If you are happy with only betting £50 a pop then keep your bets to £50 or lower.

    If £50 is not enough for you then you should consider option 2.

    2. Spread your bets around bookmakers. Say you wanted to stake £100 on Horse A, then you could stake £50 at bookie 1 and another £50 at bookie number 2.

    How Long Can I Expect an Account to Stay Open?

    Following these steps is no magic bullet and if you are a profitable gambler your account will get shut down at some point. It is just a matter of when. Assuming you are a reasonably profitable gambler and you follow my steps above you can expect your accounts to have an average lifespan of several years.

    Some bookies will close your accounts much quicker than that (less than a month) where as others will take a lot longer to shut you down.

Viewing 15 posts - 2,926 through 2,940 (of 3,182 total)