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Viewing 15 posts - 2,881 through 2,895 (of 3,190 total)
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  • in reply to: General TPS Chat #5274
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s matched ratings;

    SEDGEFIELD

    2.00 Major Ivan

    2.30 Kiwayu

    3.05 –

    3.40 –

    4.15 Silver Shuffle / Ange Des Malberaux

    4.50 Gvs Ivportensa

    SOUTHWELL

    2.20 Unify / Larkhall

    2.55 Super Scorpion

    3.30 Doitforjoe

    4.05 Miss Mobot / Lady Robyn

    4.40 Master Dancer / Katie Gale

    5.10 Definitely Grey

    WOLVES

    5.40 Redicean

    6.10 –

    6.40 Dream Ally

    7.10 Coolcalmcollected

    7.40 Sbraase

    8.10 Best Laid Plan

    8.40 Wings of Esteem / Youre a Goat

    9.10 –

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5272
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Ayr abandoned – waterlogged track.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5260
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Poor from Ivor’s Queen, not sure that horse is worth its 123 rating!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5257
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    First one home for the matched ratings (Party Tiger @ 6/1)

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5256
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Shahaama 1450 Hamilton, jockey trainer combo Graham Lee / Mick Channon, 45% SR

    Jockey to follow for the day – Sam Twiston Davies rides Marracudja Newton Abbot 1430

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5255
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Ivor’s Queen Newton Abbot 1400, 52% win probability.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5254
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Might be something in this Chris. Update to the 1350 as of course odds shorten and drift and of course this affects the probability ratio.

    Perfect Symphony now 24% (was 22% )

    This may seem obvious but if the oods shorten the probability is greater and conversely if they drift, probability wains.

    This will apply to all other races too, sorry if I’m stating the bleeding obvious or teaching granny to suck eggs!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5252
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Here’s something for you just to mix it up a bit and hopefully not send you into a spin.

    Below is the Hamilton card for today showing the horse with the highest percentage chance of winning, taking into account field size, actual odds, going and mathematics.

    Let’s see if mathematical probability can play a part, just for fun, but you never know ?

    Hamilton

    1350 Perfect Symphony 22%

    1420 Shesnotforturning 22% / Wahaab 22%

    1450 Shahaama 19%

    1520 In my Place 23%

    1550 Danzeno 37%

    1620 Taking Liberties 13%

    1655 Little Pippin 15%

    1725 Kelvin Hall 19%

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5251
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    No Irish card today, meeting at Roscommon abandoned.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5247
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Today’s matched ratings, reminder, going, heavy at Hamilton, no further rain forecast, tread carefully.

    HAMILTON

    1.50 Party Tiger

    2.20 Shesnotforturning

    2.50 Jacob’s Pillow / Shahaama

    3.20 Gilmer

    3.50 Danezeno

    4.20 –

    4.55 Little Pippin

    5.25 Qibtee

    NEWTON ABBOT

    2.00 Ivor’s Queen / Solstalla

    2.30 Ballybolley / Marracudja

    3.00 Rainy City / Templecross

    3.30 Next Sensation

    4.00 –

    4.30 Taste the Wine

    BATH

    2.10 Fair Comment

    2.40 –

    3.10 Fast and Hot / Daily News

    3.40 Spring Jig

    4.10 Mazzel / Katrine

    4.40 Precious Plum

    5.10 –

    5.40 –

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5243
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Chris and Rob, you two have me in stitches. As you point out, tricky times ahead with the transition back to jumps, also, Roscommon meeting is abandoned today, Hamilton gets the go ahead but the going is HEAVY! Salisbury loses a card for Wednesday due to unstable ground, and there’s more rain forecast, happy days. On the plus side, somebodies gotta win!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5237
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Thanks Trevor, I’m going to include the Irish cards daily if you’re interested ( tomorrow’s abandoned) ?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5231
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    As official Irish Correspondent ( thanks Chris Baker for that label ) do you guys want me to publish the Irish card daily? Although tomorrow’s meeting at Roscommon has been abandoned. Let me know, I’m happy to do so.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5229
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Well that was none too shabby for a Sunday! 8/1 & 5/1 winners at Epsom, and a nice 12/1 winner at Curragh. Thanks guys and gals for your comments, glad I could help top up your betting banks today.

    20 races today ( including Curragh)
    12 winners (8, 1st rated)
    9 placed (3, 1st rated)
    60% overall SR
    40 % SR 1st rated
    45% SR placed

    Musselburgh

    7 races
    4 winners (2, 1st rated)
    2 placed ( 1 of each rating)
    1 NR

    Epsom

    7 races
    4 winners ( 2 of each rating)
    4 placed ( 2 of each rating)

    Curragh

    6 races
    4 winners (all 1st rated )
    3 placed ( all 2nd rated)

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #5219
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    By popular demand and especially for you ROB!

    Curragh

    1450 The Happy Prince / Janes Memory / Flight Risk
    1525 Capri / Exemplar
    1555 Propriano / Paddy the Celeb
    1630 Tyler Wonder / Tithonus
    1705 Twighlight Payment / Jennifer Jewel
    1735 Complicit / Japan H’ghar

Viewing 15 posts - 2,881 through 2,895 (of 3,190 total)