Richard Levett

[Richard Levett]

Today’s ratings from Clonmel, let’s hope we can carry on the good work from yesterday

Clonmel

1355 Creative Talent / Guitar George
1425 Russelstown / Nautuarlly Blond
1455 Khalessi / That’s Mypresenting
1530 Duke Cassiano / Double Windsor ( Rockey Storm e/w )
1605 New Kid in Town / Duckweed
1635 Not for You / Robin Des people
1710 Where’s Me / Medinah Theatre / (Ivy Nook e/w )

[Richard Levett]

Today’s matched ratings;

BRIGHTON

1.50 Glyder

2.20 Tesko Fella

2.50 Lord Reason

3.25 Purple Party / Cranwell

4.00 –

4.30 Whinging Willie

5.05 Wrapped / Ejayteekay

5.35 Fairy Mist

WARWICK

2.00 Peter the Mayo Man

2.30 Wholestone

3.05 –

3.40 –

4.10 Benzel / Ready Token

4.40 Quebec

NEWCASTLE

2.10 Zymran / Davy’s Dilemma

2.40 Sincil Bank

3.15 Sun Lover / New Signal

3.50 Cartwright

4.20 Qaffaal

4.55 Soundstrings

5.25 Intense Scarlet

5.55 Groundworker

CHELMSFORD

5.40 Swallow Street

6.10 The Big Short / Acertwo

6.40 Star of Bristol

7.10 Jumping Jack

7.40 Feed the Goater

8.10 Bazzat

8.40 Blushes

9.10 Commanche

BBOTD:3.50 Newc – Cartwright

[Richard Levett]

Well with the negativity floating around today after a few bad days I’m going to end it on a High!

If you followed the card I posted at Sligo today, you’d be filling your pockets!

4 winners from 7, 2, 1-2’s (1435 & 1645) and 4 placed

7 races
4 winners ( all 1st rated)
4 placed (2 of each rating)

57.14%SR both win and place

Tomorrow’s card comes from Clonmel

[Richard Levett]

Well yesterday’s card at Fairyhouse was testing in heavy conditions, we were unlucky that two of our 1st rated were declared non runners too.

7 races
1 winner
5 placed (2, 1st rated, 3, 2nd rated )
2 NR ( Highly Toxic and Twist of Magic)

Today’s Irish card comes from Sligo, again going is heavy.

Sligo

1405 Retour En France / Water Sprite
1435 Vinnie Luck / Antiphony
1505 Galboystown / Hellofado
1535 Draycott Place / The Black Russian
1610 Buckskin Buolta / Sir Ector
1645 Sizing Coal / Another Rebel
1715 Willow Grange / Garrai Phaidin

[Richard Levett]

Today’s matched ratings;

SALISBURY

1.50 Parfai

2.20 Koeman

2.50 Eqtiraan

3.20 Foresight

3.55 –

4.30 –

5.00 –

NOTTINGHAM

2.00 Her Terms / Commander Cole

2.30 –

3.00 Mount Moriah / Outre Mer

3.30 I am Not Here

4.05 –

4.40

5.10 Noble Act

BANGOR

2.10 –

2.40 Aqalin

3.10 John’s Spirit / Germany Calling

3.45 Whatthatsallabout

4.20 Kalaskadesmilley

4.50 Caspian Piper

KEMPTON

5.40 Zebelini

6.10 –

6.40 Dubai One

7.10 Enginio / Total Star

7.40 Timeless Flight

8.10 –

8.40 –

9.10 Capolavoro

[Richard Levett]

Danny Boy! Nice one with Dinky Inty, that was close though!?

[Richard Levett]

For you lovers of the Emerald Isle, here are today’s ratings from Fairyhouse;

1415 Circus Ring / Miss Qatar
1445 Twist of Magic / Catch a Wave
1520 Leo Minor / Brooklyns Rose
1555 Peace Mission / He’s Complete
1630 Kissing Bubbles / Waitaki
1705 Highly Toxic / The Fox Tully
1735 Snow Falcon / Ceol Na Nog

[Richard Levett]

Today’s matched ratings;

SEDGEFIELD

2.00 Major Ivan

2.30 Kiwayu

3.05 –

3.40 –

4.15 Silver Shuffle / Ange Des Malberaux

4.50 Gvs Ivportensa

SOUTHWELL

2.20 Unify / Larkhall

2.55 Super Scorpion

3.30 Doitforjoe

4.05 Miss Mobot / Lady Robyn

4.40 Master Dancer / Katie Gale

5.10 Definitely Grey

WOLVES

5.40 Redicean

6.10 –

6.40 Dream Ally

7.10 Coolcalmcollected

7.40 Sbraase

8.10 Best Laid Plan

8.40 Wings of Esteem / Youre a Goat

9.10 –

[Richard Levett]

Ayr abandoned – waterlogged track.

[Richard Levett]

Poor from Ivor’s Queen, not sure that horse is worth its 123 rating!

[Richard Levett]

First one home for the matched ratings (Party Tiger @ 6/1)

[Richard Levett]

Shahaama 1450 Hamilton, jockey trainer combo Graham Lee / Mick Channon, 45% SR

Jockey to follow for the day – Sam Twiston Davies rides Marracudja Newton Abbot 1430

[Richard Levett]

Ivor’s Queen Newton Abbot 1400, 52% win probability.

[Richard Levett]

Might be something in this Chris. Update to the 1350 as of course odds shorten and drift and of course this affects the probability ratio.

Perfect Symphony now 24% (was 22% )

This may seem obvious but if the oods shorten the probability is greater and conversely if they drift, probability wains.

This will apply to all other races too, sorry if I’m stating the bleeding obvious or teaching granny to suck eggs!

[Richard Levett]

Here’s something for you just to mix it up a bit and hopefully not send you into a spin.

Below is the Hamilton card for today showing the horse with the highest percentage chance of winning, taking into account field size, actual odds, going and mathematics.

Let’s see if mathematical probability can play a part, just for fun, but you never know ?

Hamilton

1350 Perfect Symphony 22%

1420 Shesnotforturning 22% / Wahaab 22%

1450 Shahaama 19%

1520 In my Place 23%

1550 Danzeno 37%

1620 Taking Liberties 13%

1655 Little Pippin 15%

1725 Kelvin Hall 19%

[Author]

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