Richard Levett

[Richard Levett]

A full house over at Plumpton today, 6 winners from 6 races, and 5 were 1st rated. Three 1-2 finishes and a 1-3! 4 from 6 also placed. Contrasting fortunes at Ayr and Wolverhampton ( both recording 2 from 7 )

[Richard Levett]

Triple matched and maths applied!

PLUMPTON

2.00 Cigarisi

2.35 City Supreme

3.35 Shimba Hills

4.05 Coolking

AYR

2.45 Backinthesaddle

3.15 Las Tunas

5.15 Golden Jeffrey

[Richard Levett]

Carl, check your email! If you can publish he matched ones on the Matched Ratings section that would be great, thanks again.?

[Richard Levett]

Rob I have a match on the following;

Belle Vue

7.54 T5 Droopys Amici

Monmore

8.24 T5 Candlelight Fire

[Richard Levett]

Carl it’s always a roulette! Lol. On a serious note, yes the weather will play a big part, if it’s a head wind at Sedgefield they will go past the post backwards!

[Richard Levett]

Okay Carl, triple matched and added the maths!

Lucky 15 today, not enough strong enough numbers to make the 63. Actual probability 41.34%. ( Yesterday’s was miss quoted, the 71% yesterday was individual probability, actual Lucky 63 probability was 51.7%)

1420 Chelmsford – Toy Theatre
1445 Sedgefield – On The Road
1555 Sedgefield – Chakisto
1630 Sedgefield – Kauto Riko

£50 accumulater returns just over £1500

£50 Yankee returns £529

£50 Lucky 15 returns £420

[Richard Levett]

Carl, depending on your timings I’ll try and match your selections and analyse the data if you can get them posted before 1pm!

[Richard Levett]

So we won’t get rich on todays Lucky 63, 3 winners and 2nd and 3rd place but Shan Dun Ngall still to run at Kempton. If he wins it’ll be a profit, my £49.77, 63 bets of 0.79, will return £92.96, a profit of £43.19.

So if we get the fourth winner, I’ll repeat the exercise again tomorrow if anyone’s up for it.

[Richard Levett]

1 down 5 to go to land the Lucky 63!!

[Richard Levett]

Well the horses are not following the script today at punchestown! 50/1 winners!!! 5 placed from 4 races so far. We are stuck in a rut with placitis. Might see if I can get some tablets to cure it!

[Richard Levett]

Rob, as you have nothing up for Swindon I have nothing to compare /match. So will take your advice and swerve.

[Richard Levett]

James yiu should consider Jsnes’s or Pippins strategy. Start snall and your bank will steadily grow!

[Richard Levett]

Eachway longshot for this afternoon

Ludlow 1435 Emperor Commodos 25/1

[Richard Levett]

Thistlecrack out of Cheltenham! ?

[Richard Levett]

Carl, I’ve compared your double matched with mine, and re-run some probability analysis, and the following comes out which makes a juicy Lucky 63 with a win probability of 73.71%. This is mathematical quantitive modelling, its not fool proof (obviously) but does narrow the advantage, worth a look!

1410 Ludlow – Ridgeway Flyer
1620 Doncaster – Paint The Clouds
1630 Lingfield – Dangerous Ends
1645 Ludlow – Mendip Express
1720 Ludlow – Theatre Bar
2015 Kempton – Shan Dun Na Ngall

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