Richard Levett

[Richard Levett]

Crikey, that was a close thing, Bivouac, just! Is this horse really a 136? Hmm!

Spoilt Rotten down to 1.01 in running on Betfair, and had 6k matched! Ouch!

[Richard Levett]

Early bird for you for tomorrow

Wolverhampton 1330 – Nimr – currently 4/1 with most.

Gowran Park 1750 – Foxrock – currently 1/6.

Cheltenham early bird

Tuesday 14th March

1410 Altior – currently 1/4

1530 Yanworth – currently 11/4.

[Richard Levett]

Michael, this is still possible today, and on every race! It depends on a number of factors, but the main one is the bookie over round, the closer the over round is to 100 the probability for the punter is greater. You won’t win a fortune, usually between 3 to 30 quid per race, staking £100. Don’t get too excited by that last figure, because conversely, you could lose a lot more.

If anyone wants to know more on this I’ll write a blog post.

[Richard Levett]

Rob, Sea Wall, Leicester 1530 is my 1st rated if that’s worth anything?

[Richard Levett]

Triple matched, maths applied, all the Sandown selections score the highest probability, and highest probability thereafter is Bivouac Leicester 1420) and Blushing Red (Newcastle 1745)

SANDOWN

2.00 Centurius

2.30 Azzerti

3.05 Rathlin Rose

3.40 Kayf Adventure

4.15 Artifice Sivola

4.50 Mr Clarkson / Sneaky Feeling ( after applying probability and a bit of quantitive modelling (nerd lol) these two are identical in chances of winning! Now, as I’ve said before, maths alone won’t win a horse race, so based on the fact that David Noonan has a 100% SR when riding for the owners of Mr Clarkson, preference goes here)

AYR

2.10 Culmination

2.45 Vertigo

3.20 Tomahawk Wood

5.00 Gold Opera

5.35 Another Mattie

LEICESTER

2.20 Bivouac (highest probability of all )

4.40 Darwins Fox

NEWCASTLE

5,45 Blushing Red

[Richard Levett]

Triple Matched and maths applied

WINCANTON

2.20 Unison

3.30 Multiculture

4.05 Coole Cody

CARLISE

2.35 Dick Darsie

3.10 Johanos

4.20 Present Times

4.55 Loch Ba

5.25 Hands of Stone

SOUTHWELL

2.45 Luv U Whatever

3.20 Bounty Pursuit

5.05 Pick of Any

NEWCASTLE

7.15 Mandrell

8.15 Justice Pleasing

[Richard Levett]

So, so close Stan!

[Richard Levett]

Haha! It’s nice to know though that we have strength in depth when circumstances like today happen, we all pull together to ensure the service continues uninterrupted.

Well done on all strategies today (so far, Kempton still going)

[Richard Levett]

Well, we haven’t done too badly today so far! 6 from 7 at Lingfield including two 1-2 finishes and a 2-3, and 4 from 7 over at Catterick.

Lingfield

7 races
6 winners ( 2 1st rated )
4 placed ( 1 1st rated )

Catterick

7 races
4 winners ( 2 of each rating )
4 placed ( 2 of each rating )

Let’s see what Kempton brings!

[Richard Levett]

Just like Sunday’s and Irish race days ( and when Matt’s away) my ratings posted in members shared tips!

[Richard Levett]

Okay, boys and girls, whilst the big man is unavailable, here are my full ratings for the day.

Lingfield

1400 Zabdi / Wink Oliver
1430 Flowers On Venus / Fairway To Heaven
1500 Goodwood Crusader / Mercers
1530 Arsenic Lupin / Solajan
1600 Juan Horsepower / Merry Banter
1630 Varsovian / Make Music
1700 Free Bounty / Ayr Of Elegance

Catterick

1420 Beaumonts Party / Akula
1450 Nomoreblackjack / Nine Altars
1520 All My Love / Becky The Thatcher
1550 Minella Suite / Frankie Ballou
1620 Snapping Turtle / Brae On
1650 Flash Garden / Comedinewithme
1720 Shearling / It’s All About Me

Kempton

1745 Manson / Our Channel
1815 Dominium / Athassel
1845 Al Bin Nayef / Powered
1915 Smiley Bagel / Graceful Lady
1945 Surrey Hope / Accomplice
2015 Misu Pete / Secret Lightening
2045 King of Dreams / Saleh

[Richard Levett]

For you footie punters:-

Rotherham vs Brighton – Home win /btts/ over 1.5.

Brighton have lost their last two Championship games – they’ve not lost three in a row since January 2016, with the third defeat in that run coming against Rotherham.

[Richard Levett]

Michael, they might just be right, opened at 13/2 now 3/1, it’s my 1st rated over Burgess Dream (sorry guys!)

[Richard Levett]

Triple matched, maths applied.

SOUTHWELL

2.00 Never Up

2.30 Midnight Jade

3.00 Royal Village

3.30 Malapie

WOLVES

3.10 Lostock

4.10 Simply Me

LINGFIELD

3.20 Ardmayle

3.50 Eminent Poet

4.20 Matrow’s Lady

[Richard Levett]

Stunning ratings all the same. Some of your selections are only just outside of being included!! If you are using / starting your own system Id be interested to explore this further with you.

[Author]

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