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Richard Levett
ModeratorBooom! Hope you were all on my earlybird posted last night? Nimr wins at Wolves. 6/1 last night backed into 3/1. Happy days!!
Richard Levett
ModeratorTriple matched maths applied now published, looks a tough, tough day!!!!!
Richard Levett
ModeratorTriple matched and maths applied
SANDOWN
NOTHING MATCHES AFTER MATHS APPLIED!
WOLVES
2.05 Nimr
2.40 Gilgamash
4.25 Russian Soul (2nd rated)
HEREFORD
1.40 Golden Investment
3.25 Aintree My Dream
5.10 Lovenormoney (2nd rated)
AYR
2.10 King of Fashion
2.45 Pistol Park
3.20 Takingrisks
4.30 Lochnell
CHELMSFORD
6.45 Muqaatil (2nd rated )
7.45 Dubai Waves
8.15 General Hazard
Richard Levett
ModeratorCorrect Rob!, well spotted eagle eyes!
Richard Levett
ModeratorCarl, i’ll do all the magic maths again tomorrow for you. And we’ll see if we can put together another strong combo. Good shout today.
Richard Levett
ModeratorI did say they couldnt be separated this morning, but 22 lengths!!!!!
Richard Levett
ModeratorJacqueline. Nice in running prices. Combo of back and lay works for me! Many different portfolios!!
Richard Levett
ModeratorCrikey, that was a close thing, Bivouac, just! Is this horse really a 136? Hmm!
Spoilt Rotten down to 1.01 in running on Betfair, and had 6k matched! Ouch!
Richard Levett
ModeratorEarly bird for you for tomorrow
Wolverhampton 1330 – Nimr – currently 4/1 with most.
Gowran Park 1750 – Foxrock – currently 1/6.
Cheltenham early bird
Tuesday 14th March
1410 Altior – currently 1/4
1530 Yanworth – currently 11/4.
Richard Levett
ModeratorMichael, this is still possible today, and on every race! It depends on a number of factors, but the main one is the bookie over round, the closer the over round is to 100 the probability for the punter is greater. You won’t win a fortune, usually between 3 to 30 quid per race, staking £100. Don’t get too excited by that last figure, because conversely, you could lose a lot more.
If anyone wants to know more on this I’ll write a blog post.
Richard Levett
ModeratorRob, Sea Wall, Leicester 1530 is my 1st rated if that’s worth anything?
Richard Levett
ModeratorTriple matched, maths applied, all the Sandown selections score the highest probability, and highest probability thereafter is Bivouac Leicester 1420) and Blushing Red (Newcastle 1745)
SANDOWN
2.00 Centurius
2.30 Azzerti
3.05 Rathlin Rose
3.40 Kayf Adventure
4.15 Artifice Sivola
4.50 Mr Clarkson / Sneaky Feeling ( after applying probability and a bit of quantitive modelling (nerd lol) these two are identical in chances of winning! Now, as I’ve said before, maths alone won’t win a horse race, so based on the fact that David Noonan has a 100% SR when riding for the owners of Mr Clarkson, preference goes here)
AYR
2.10 Culmination
2.45 Vertigo
3.20 Tomahawk Wood
5.00 Gold Opera
5.35 Another Mattie
LEICESTER
2.20 Bivouac (highest probability of all )
4.40 Darwins Fox
NEWCASTLE
5,45 Blushing Red
Richard Levett
ModeratorTriple Matched and maths applied
WINCANTON
2.20 Unison
3.30 Multiculture
4.05 Coole Cody
CARLISE
2.35 Dick Darsie
3.10 Johanos
4.20 Present Times
4.55 Loch Ba
5.25 Hands of Stone
SOUTHWELL
2.45 Luv U Whatever
3.20 Bounty Pursuit
5.05 Pick of Any
NEWCASTLE
7.15 Mandrell
8.15 Justice Pleasing
Richard Levett
ModeratorSo, so close Stan!
Richard Levett
ModeratorHaha! It’s nice to know though that we have strength in depth when circumstances like today happen, we all pull together to ensure the service continues uninterrupted.
Well done on all strategies today (so far, Kempton still going)
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