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Viewing 15 posts - 2,431 through 2,445 (of 3,190 total)
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  • in reply to: General TPS Chat #15123
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    A good day in Ireland today, not so at Ffos Las.

    in reply to: Members shared tips #15066
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Usual maths applied for probability etc, etc, cheeky Lucky 31 anyone?

    Ffos Las

    1715 Flemenskill

    Carlisle

    1415 Framley Garth
    1555 Firth Of The Clyde
    1625 Lord Ballim
    1700 Pearlysteps

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #15063
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Rob, can’t answer for worldwide racing as I don’t touch it! Far too unpredictable!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #15056
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Rob, apologies for jumping in on your conversation but the actual percentage of favourites winning is 33.54%, there is a variance to this, ore favourites win on the flat 37.24%, but overall it’s a third. Sad I know that right!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #15044
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Sunday Ratings now published, some ridiculously small fields at Carlisle!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14946
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Carl, Matt has asked me to ‘take the day off’, having been working in Brussels over the last 3 days, and publishing my ratings, match ratings, updating Facebook, Irish Ratings etc, I too, am spent!

    Normal Service will resume tomorrow for UK and Irish Ratings, today is much needed family time.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14934
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    If anyone is interested, we have one card over on the Emerald Isle today, and the Irish Ratings have now been published.

    in reply to: Members shared tips #14744
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Rob all your selections are my 1st rated, bar Daytime Ahead at Towcester who isn’t on my radar. Nice tipping ????

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14738
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    I see Matt is publishing the ratings by 12pm, I’m in a meeting then (1pm CET) so there may not be any matched today! I’ll see what I can do covertly!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14734
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    My Cheltenham Day 3 Ratings now published!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14549
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Paul, you can go to the toilet now, but no talking in the corridor lol

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14537
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Day 2 Richards Ratings now published

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14533
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Carl probability only works in large numbers (stats, probability and quantitive modelling is my day job) the coin toss is a good example, toss the coin ten times at may come out 7 heads 3 tails or vice versa, but the more you repeat the exercise say 1000 times you will inevitably end up close to 50/50, this in mathematics is known as the law of large numbers (LLN)

    Apply this to horse racing and the same will apply, here’s an example, and one that works, but again you need 500 plus results (LLN)

    Bet on all TPS rated horses each way, odds over 7 and under 20. Start with say a £1 eachway (£2 outlay) and by the time you reach the 500 mark you would have made approximately £300, from an initial £2 (£200 starting bank, 100 pt, £2 stake)

    Try it, guarantee it will work, sure you will get losing runs, say 5-10 on the trot, the odds dictate that, but once the law of large numbers kicks in, you will start to make a steady profit.

    That ends this mornings lesson lol.

    I’ll mark your papers later.

    in reply to: Members shared tips #14445
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Carl, your matches don’t add UP! Both Matt and I have Limini and Mixboy you’ve eliminated the former from my matchest and the latter from Matt’s matches!

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #14443
    Richard Levett
    Moderator

    Guys and gals, check out Dean’s post re: back/lay strategy for the 100/1 Bet on Brazil offer! Great work Dean ???

Viewing 15 posts - 2,431 through 2,445 (of 3,190 total)