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Richard Levett
ModeratorI see Matt is publishing the ratings by 12pm, I’m in a meeting then (1pm CET) so there may not be any matched today! I’ll see what I can do covertly!
Richard Levett
ModeratorMy Cheltenham Day 3 Ratings now published!
Richard Levett
ModeratorPaul, you can go to the toilet now, but no talking in the corridor lol
Richard Levett
ModeratorDay 2 Richards Ratings now published
Richard Levett
ModeratorCarl probability only works in large numbers (stats, probability and quantitive modelling is my day job) the coin toss is a good example, toss the coin ten times at may come out 7 heads 3 tails or vice versa, but the more you repeat the exercise say 1000 times you will inevitably end up close to 50/50, this in mathematics is known as the law of large numbers (LLN)
Apply this to horse racing and the same will apply, here’s an example, and one that works, but again you need 500 plus results (LLN)
Bet on all TPS rated horses each way, odds over 7 and under 20. Start with say a £1 eachway (£2 outlay) and by the time you reach the 500 mark you would have made approximately £300, from an initial £2 (£200 starting bank, 100 pt, £2 stake)
Try it, guarantee it will work, sure you will get losing runs, say 5-10 on the trot, the odds dictate that, but once the law of large numbers kicks in, you will start to make a steady profit.
That ends this mornings lesson lol.
I’ll mark your papers later.
Richard Levett
ModeratorCarl, your matches don’t add UP! Both Matt and I have Limini and Mixboy you’ve eliminated the former from my matchest and the latter from Matt’s matches!
Richard Levett
ModeratorGuys and gals, check out Dean’s post re: back/lay strategy for the 100/1 Bet on Brazil offer! Great work Dean ???
Richard Levett
ModeratorCheltenham Day 1 published in the Cheltenham section of the forum, good luck all!
Richard Levett
ModeratorRob, will do, and for each and every day of he festival. I will be publishing the Cheltenham card in the next few minutes! This will be in he Cheltenham section.
Richard Levett
ModeratorAre you ready? The countdown to the greatest show on turf has begun! I will be going head to head with Matt again for this years Cheltenham festival. Last year the scores ended.
Matt 17 vs Richard 15
Lets not look at this as a straight fight but an opportunity for us all to profit big time. Bring it on!
Richard Levett
ModeratorNIce little four-fold?
PLUMPTON
2.00 Solighoster 1/2/2
STRATFORD
4.20 Olofi 1/1/1
CHEPSTOW
3.25 Ckalco Des Loges 1/1/2
CHELMSFORD
7.20 Final 1/1/2
Richard Levett
ModeratorTriple matched and maths applied
PLUMPTON
2.00 Solighoster
4.10 Top and Drop
4.40 Finish the Story
5.10 Thundering Home
STRATFORD
3.15 Midnight Maestro
4.20 Olofi
CHEPSTOW
2.20 Point and Shoot
3.25 Ckalco Des Loges
CHELMSFORD
7.20 Final
7.50 Rag Tatter
Richard Levett
ModeratorJust checked yesterday’s Irish results and save a for a couple of wobbly days, our strike rate on 1st rated winners over the last 7 months remains at 41%. Happy with that!
Richard Levett
ModeratorJust checked yesterday’s results and whilst it was a poor day for outright winners, 18 from 14 placed, so in the vain hope any of you utilise the place market, it was a profitable day LOL!
Richard Levett
ModeratorCARL, Shrunk your Heinz to a Lucky 31! Check with Matt when ratings published but all the numbers look good!
Chepstow
14.20 Point and Shoot
15.25 Ckalco de Loges
16.30 The Caller
Stratford
15.15 Midnight Maestro
16.20 Olofi
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