Richard Levett

[Richard Levett]

After a technical outage this morning, Ratings have resumed this afternoon bar the two Irish cards! Sorry for any inconvenience, business as usual tomorrow.

[Richard Levett]

When we took a look at the page views we found the numbers looking at the Daily NAPs was dropping off a cliff and the Eyecatchers rarely looked at too. So in the slight upgrade when Scott took over the site from Jason we started the Value Bets which have become pretty popular as you don’t have to navigate across multiple pages to find them.

The Ratings are still going strong and continue to add immense value to many subscribers betting arsenal, we consistantly still hit the frame day in day out so I’m pretty happy they are still performing after all these years!

[Richard Levett]

Rob, what do you want to know?

[Richard Levett]

Rob, I’m still here!

[Richard Levett]

NAP of the day

1510 Ffos Las – Shesupincourt 6/5

14 length winner last time out; drops back in trip today; quicker ground shouldn’t pose an issue so can follow up!

[Richard Levett]

Hi Darren, I can see you joined this morning? What changed your mind so quickly if i may ask?

[Richard Levett]

Okay guys and gals! I’ve just run a sample dataset on the Value Bets published each day. I’ve taken the dataset for one full week from when we started publishing them along side the Daily Ratings so not a huge sample size to take in to account any variance, but a snapshot of early indications. So far it’s looking pretty good.

I’ve run the data assuming single bets on every selection daily to modest £10 stakes. So up to and including last night the early results are as follows:-

Strike Rate 33.33% (23 from 69)

Total profit – (To £10 Stakes) £218.50 (21.85 points)

Average profit per bet – £3.17

Average odds of winners – 4.84

Expected EV – 0.943

So to summarize, the strike rate is really good, average odds are showing a mix of medium to higher priced selections so if this keeps up we should remain profitable. The EV I’m very happy with at 0.943 which implies we are returning almost £1 for every £1 staked which is solid for long term growth, and with the longest losing run of 5, the bank remains robust.

Any thoughts or comments gratefully received!

[Richard Levett]

Hi Marty, and welcome to TPS, follow the link below and the staking plan is shown here:

Profitable Strategies

[Richard Levett]

NAP of ther day

1410 Wexford – Beckistine 13/2

Below par and comfortably held last time out; looked the likely winner when falling over hurdles prior; can make amends today and looks the one to beat!

[Richard Levett]

Today’s EYECATCHER

1335 Fakenham – Crown Of India 3/1

[Richard Levett]

NAP of the day

1600 Cheltenham – Jonbon 10/11

Beat Energumene in the Clarence House last time; 8 time Grade 1 winner; hard to oppose!

[Richard Levett]

Very good start for us at the Cheltenham Festival, 5 winners, a straight forecast and the value bet from Cheltenham came home too (13/2SP but 14/1 when advised!)

Same again tomorrow?

[Richard Levett]

We are off to a flyer in the opener at Cheltenham! Not only did we bag the winner (Kopek Des Bordes) but 2nd and 3rd rated too, in that order for a fantastic forecast, brilliant start!

[Richard Levett]

Today’s EYECATCHER

1720 Cheltenham – Kyntara 12/1

[Richard Levett]

NAP of the day

1618 Sedgefield – Cave Article 13/8

C&D winner; steadily progressive; form franked; should be in the mix today!

[Author]

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