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Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 652 total)
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  • in reply to: General TPS Chat #24160
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Thank you Paul for the enlightenment.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #24147
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    I run a system that uses the top 3 favourites in the race. Yesterday was a very bad day with a very high number of outsiders winning. Anyone have any specific idea as to why yesterday was so bad – or is it just the luck?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #24117
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Larry- don’t suppose you have a nice low mileage S type? lol

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #24028
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Larry thanks for the reply.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #24017
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Larry. Have you tried running your method with dutching the two TPS rated?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #23994
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Richard is certainly on a roll at the moment. Winners all over the place yesterday and a good load today. Hope it continues into next week!!!!

    in reply to: Members shared tips #23956
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    LARRY – Job done twice!!!

    in reply to: Members shared tips #23943
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    What about this one?

    Do you believe McGregor will take Mayweather out?
    If yes you can get a GUARANTEED WIN if you copy this method…
    Place £5 (or what you can afford), on every round for McGregor to win, plus the draw.
    £5 would be a total stake of £75.
    The least you would win is £115 = A profit of £45
    The most you would win is £505 = A profit of £435

    in reply to: Members shared tips #23897
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Here is one from me which just happens to coincide with another

    PUT ALL 4 BELOW IN AN EW L15

    5.00 FFOS LAS .. KINGLAMI

    2.40 NEWMARKET .. FASTAR

    4.55 NEWMARKET .. MELINOE

    8.05 HAMILTON .. PERFECT WORDS

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #23842
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    I have just tried a dozen times to get into Members Shared Tips but keep getting thrown back to the home page. so here are some freebe tips I have from “Inner Circle”.
    YORK 1.55 PREMIERE YEARLING STAKES
    Tricky start to proceedings in this race De Bruyne Horse heads my ratings and speed figures currently 11/2 one of 2 entries for the hannons . R fahey has 5 entries the most popular being current joint fav Great Prospector 7/2 ridden by hannagan the other joint fav is Hey Jonesy 7/2 from the kevin ryan yard who has won this race twice since 2011.. Hey Jonesy has the benefit of a course win at york in a very good class 3 and takes step up in class today . Great Prospector doesnt fair so well on speed figures but only 2yr old and totally unexposed . That brings me to De Bruyne Horse who is top on all stats and the choice ride of golden bollox . Highly tried in 2 class 1 runs 8th and 4th but does have a class 2 win over todays trip .. Very tricky for betting purposes these 3 all look to have a chance in a field of improving 2 yr olds . Hey Jonsey is the pick on all the big sites but the value is with the hannon horse SO ILL ADVISE AN EW PUNT WITH 4 PLACES UP FOR GRABS ON DE BRUYNE HORSE 11/2

    YORK 2.25 LOWTHER STAKES ( GROUP 2 )
    Excellent race this a field full of 2 yr old im sure we will be backing a few of these in the future . Clear on irv ratings is the obrien horse Actress 2126213 it has top speed rating . Close to it is Neolla and Threading . That cheesy american fella wesley ward runs Happy Like A Fool and frankie takes the ride .Its only had the one run coming 2nd at ascot in june ridden by ryan moore on that occasion , be nice to hear what he thinks of the horse but without that info we stuck with the form stats im gonna stick with ryan moores mount on Actress as its the most experienced of these 2 yr olds on 7 runs and like i said has the top speed figure . Again very competitive but at 4/1 i think we can just get away with an ew punt
    BACK ACTRESS EW AT 4/1

    YORK 3.00 CLIPPER LOGISTICS HANDICAP
    This is a bit more simple to break down on form a mixture of 3-7 yr olds . War Department a non runner makes it a bit easier so the only 3yr old and top official rated is Ronald R at 8/1 from the michael bell yard this horse is top on the clock has won over further the drop back to 8f today should be fine. At 8/1 this looks another good opportunity for golden bollox to show his class . Al Hayem and Chelsea Lad look the main dangers and have been supported YOU COULD DUTCH ALL 3 AT THE PRICES OR HAVE A WIN BET ON RONALD R AND SAVERS ON THE OTHER TWO .. ILL BE DOING WIN AND SAVE

    YORK 3.35 DARLEY YORKSHIRE OAKS
    A fillies group 1 race and the fav needs no introduction Enable currently 2/7 should be winning this for frankie and john gosden . Only 7 runners not a betting opportunity maybe a forecast Enable to win followed home by Nezwaah 9/1 who is actually top speed . NO BET FOR ME IN THIS

    YORK 4.15 BRITISH EBF HENRY CECIL GALTRES STAKES
    Another listed event for fillies top rated by far is Mori . A sir michael stout ryan moore combination .. Odds on at 4/5 should be taking this by all account main dangers look to be More Mischief who is more exposed and holds top speed figure and Curlew River from mark johnston yard 1711 form figures but takes a big step up in class today ,, NO BET FOR ME MAYBE A TRICAST . MORI FIRST MORE MISCHIEF 2ND AND CURLEW RIVER 3RD .

    YORK 4.50
    Cristal Fizz is least exposed and top rated from the william haggas yard under guess who ? Yes golden bollox . So favourite backers will be hoping he sends them home with a win and seems the pick
    WIN BET CRISTAL FIZZ 2/1

    in reply to: Members shared tips #23719
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Update on previous freebe post:
    .45 CLENYMISTRA is a non runner in the Thirsk Trixie so replace it with LUV U WHATEVER​​​​​​​ in the same race.

    in reply to: Members shared tips #23710
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Signed up for a freebe and got this:

    CLEAR AS A BELL … 2.45 THIRSK
    AFRICAN FRIEND … 3.45 THIRSK
    ESKENDASH … 5.50 WINDSOR

    SOVEREIGN BOUNTY 3.15 THIRSK 8/1
    Course and distance winner looks to have an ew chance in an open race good speed rating top on irv. Briyouni and Whitkirk look dangers at the prices GO EW ON THE SELECTION

    BECK AND CALL 7.20 WINDSOR 4/1

    Unexposed 3yr old from the henry candy yard could be more to come from this one good speed figure been supported from 11/2
    EW PUNT ON BECK AND CALL

    BANFF 7.00 HEXAM 8/11

    I tipped this one up earlier in the month winning under jamie spencer on the flat . Back over hurdles today under champion jockey richard johnson looks to have every chance , rubbish price but expected to win
    WIN BET ON BANFF

    EW TRIXIE ADVISED ON THESE 3 BELOW AT THIRSK ALL 3 TOP RATED ON IRV

    4.45 CLENYMISTRA
    5.15 CALLIOPE
    5.45 GAELIC WIZARD

    Thats all for today good luck

    Bank use 100 points and then use the following stakes on the bets I advise

    1 point win
    0.5 point each way
    0.5 point on each Dutch selection
    1 point win with saver(s) to break even
    1 point total stake Trixie
    2 point total stake each way Trixie
    2 point total stake Lucky15
    4 point total stake each way Lucky15

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #23544
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Thank you Larry. I guessed the stop at two might not be a good idea. thanks for saving me from experimenting!

    Now here is a possible useless or otherwise statistic: In races of 12 runnerrs or less over the last 16 days 89% of all 1st Favourites that won did so at odds of 1.2 – 3.99. 83% of all 2nd favourites that won did so at odds of 2.4 – 5.99. 97.5% of all 3rd favourites that won did so at odds of 4 – 9.99.

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #23534
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Larry D. I have been following your system for a few weeks and was wondering if you have any records as to what the results would be if it went to stop at two [SAT] winners?

    in reply to: General TPS Chat #21829
    Michael Wilkinson
    Participant

    Dean perhaps you can enlighten me as to why TPS put up a stategy that says pick the 1st rated, bet £20 and if it loses increase the stake by £10 on the next 1st rated until you reach your desired profit or stop loss. That does not fall in line with your comments about being selective?

Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 652 total)