Dean Harris

[Dean Harris]

AvB/DM – job done, first race again.
Cheers Carl.
I think some of us need to go into business with Jason…haha
I have other strategies not linked to TPS that would also be worth marketing.

[Dean Harris]

No problem Carl. You and I seem to have a winning formula and other people are liking it.
Somehow even my top trainer/top jockey strategy has been performing – thanks to Dave R for using it and letting us know how it has been getting on. I thought it was done and dusted when SportingLife changed their website but Dave has adapted it to the RP site, which is brilliant if it keeps working.

It seems we have quite a portfolio going now – AvB/DM (Carl and me), TT/TJ (Dave R), 7-20 odds (Rich, JMac) – I’m sure we can get loads more added in.
Are these all on the successful strategies page?

I mentioned last week about a site that allows us punters to follow other tipsters (www.tippingsports.com). I have started following a certain tipster who has been doing well recently (he had 2 winners from 4, a 14/1 2nd place & 1 UP). Both winners and the UP selection were TPS rated too so it might even perform better when matching his selections to TPS.
Here are his tips for today (they are free anyway) –
Good 15.10 Cotton Club (also 2nd rated)
Good 17.25 Quite a Story (also 1st rated)
Tipp 18.40 Steel Prince
Sand 20.40 Timeless Art

[Dean Harris]

For those AvB/DM followers, here is the most important list of the day (SAW fans would have won and stopped on the first race yesterday) –
1. Catt 13.50 Time Trail to beat Seen the Lyte
2. War 14.10 Blairs Cove to beat Talkischeap
3. Catt 14.20 Magic Applause to beat Thrifty (1st vs 2nd rated)
4. Good 14.35 Gossiping to beat Shady McCoy
5. Catt 14.55 Mr Strutter to beat Black Bubba (1st vs 2nd rated)
SAW should have been met by now but for those carrying on –
6. Catt 15.30 Meshardal to beat Tricky Dicky
7. Catt 16.40 Arzaak to beat Scuzeme
8. War 17.05 Alberobello to beat Florida Calling
9. Good 17.25 Quite a Story to beat Danecase
10. Catt 17.45 Sir Geoffrey to beat Hit the Lights
Personally I would definitely stop here and go spend the evening with family but for those carrying on –
The evening meetings will be updated with AvB later…

[Dean Harris]

My outsider selections for today are –
Yarm 15.00 Thomas Blossom
Ling 16.10 Fly True
Ayr 17.55 Colour Contrast
Kemp 19.40 Wadigor

[Dean Harris]

The moment you’ve all been waiting for, the AvB/DM list for today –
1. Ling 14.40 Hope is High to beat Brooke’s Point
2. Ling 15.10 West Drive to beat Rosa Damascena
3. Yarm 15.30 Rebel Surge to beat Blind Faith
4. Ayr 15.50 Straightothepoint to beat Tommy G
5. Ayr 16.20 Nicholas T to beat Gilded Reflection
SAW should have been applied by now but here are the next set –
6. Ling 16.40 Regarde Moi to beat Beach Bar
7. Yarm 17.00 Moi Aussie to beat Swilly Sunset
8. Ayr 17.20 Pure Art to beat Maleficent Queen
9. Ayr 17.55 Lucent Dream to beat Stoneboat Bill (1st vs 2nd rated)

There aren’t any AvB markets available for the evening meetings at Southwell or Kempton.

[Dean Harris]

Hi Michael, it’s good to see a strategy working. I hope many others are alongside you and Carl and profiting from this.
Just going back to your previous question regarding Pass the Cristal – it hasn’t been double matched by Carl (see Carl’s list for double matched selections earlier in the forum). I go through each race on Betfair and look for a selection chosen by Carl that appears on the AvB market (if both 1st and 2nd rated are in AvB, I am opting for 1st rated to do better – there are 2 like that today).
There are only 9 qualifying selections I found to match today – hence my list (sometimes this can be more, but I am only going to max of 10 – it’s easy to work out if anyone wants to continue on throughout the rest of the day though).
Huntingdon doesn’t have any AvB markets and other races don’t have the selection Carl has double matched.
I hope this makes sense.

[Dean Harris]

No problem Carl.
Job done on first race.

[Dean Harris]

No joy from my 2 advised outsider selections yesterday.
Here are 2 for today –

Brig 15.50 Rubensian
Hex 20.20 Bertalus

[Dean Harris]

Order of play for AvB from Carl’s double matched today –

1. Nott 14.00 Zain Flash to beat Panaphobia
2. Brig 15.20 Staintondale Lass to beat Lyfka
3. Brig 16.20 Tommys Geal to beat Provoking
4. Brig 16.50 World Record to beat Ettie Hart
5. Hex 17.45 New List to beat Hawkhurst
Should SAW before 5 but here are next 4 –
6. Brig 17.50 Black Caesar to beat Duke of North
7. Hex 18.15 Apache Pilot to beat Treat Yourself
8. Hex 18.45 Cape Hideaway to beat The Doorman
9. Hex 20.50 Frightened Rabbit to beat The Pine Martin

[Dean Harris]

Hi Carl, have just caught up on all posts over the weekend and have seen AvB has been going well for you. Although it looks like today hasn’t been a good start 🙁

I have 2 selections for my recent ones to watch strategy –
Red 17.40 Beepeecee
Wind 20.25 Spinart

[Dean Harris]

Thanks Carl.
Last race has just finished so here’s an update.
7 from 10 of Carl’s (hard work) double matched selections beat their opposition in the AvB markets. The SAW came into effect in the first race.
This is how it went –
Race 1 – winner (Newb) profit target reached
Race 2 – lost (Newm)
Race 3 – winner (York) – loss recovered if carrying on
Race 4 – winner
Race 5 – winner
Race 6 – winner
Race 7 – loss
Race 8 – loss
Race 9 – winner – losses recovered if carrying on
Race 10 – winner (Newm)

I have noted the courses in brackets for a few of the races. It might be possible to do loss recovery by meeting – Newbury (winner 1st race), York (winner 1st race), Newmarket (winner 2nd race, loss recovered).
As long as Carl can keep coming up with the goods, the AvB market is a good 50% chance loss recovery/SAW strategy.

[Dean Harris]

Carl, I am monitoring your double matched selections on the AvB markets, as explained yesterday. When going through the process on the other post, I was just using the TPS rated when it matched in the AvB market, and as you saw it was a nightmare, so I want to focus on when your double matched appear in the AvB market.
Here is the running order and the basis would be to aim for a PT using SAW –
1. Newb 13.30 Top Mission to beat See The Master
2. Newm 13.40 Paddy A to beat Dance Teacher
3. York 14.20 Main Desire to beat Neola
4. York 14.55 On Her Toes to beat Dancing Breeze
5. Newb 15.40 Art’s Desire to beat Balestra
(I believe this should not go further than 5 races before finding a winner, but here are the next 5 anyway).
6. York 16.05 Burguillos to beat Cymro
7. York 16.35 Carolinae to beat Hells Babe (my wife…haha)
8. Newb 16.45 Wasatch Range to beat Splash Around
9. York 17.05 Major Jumbo to beat Comprise
10. Newm 17.30 Captain Bob to beat Rockley Point

Hope it works 🙂

[Dean Harris]

Many Dreams (won @ 7/1) are coming true at the moment. Just 1 from 6 but enough to cover the losses and make a small profit.
I have 10 selections today – will be happy with 2 at good prices.

Newm 13.40 Scots Piper (one for JMac)
Newb 15.05 The Detainee
Newb 17.20 Nouvelle Ere
Aint 18.05 Ashcott Boy
Newc 18.15 Taper Tantrum
Aint 18.40 Dell’ Arca
Newc 18.50 Endless Acres
Aint 19.45 Knight of Noir
Newc 19.55 Breathoffreshair
Ham 20.40 El Hombre

[Dean Harris]

Surely worth a look for me – Newc 20.30 DEANSgate…haha

[Dean Harris]

It’s all in the name Carl…haha

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