Dean Harris

[Dean Harris]

AvB/DM – job done with ease in 3rd race.

Carl, NRR – Fave won 1st qualifying race (both win and 2 places bets lost) – but recovery on 2nd race complete for both win and 2 places. Not really squeaky bum moments but odds would have been smaller in the 2 places market.
I have a loss recovery method in the 2 places markets but it’s based on higher odds selections – may consider the faves as well now.

[Dean Harris]

Today’s AvB/DM list –

1. Bev 14.00 Just for the Craic to beat Our Little Pony
2. Cart 14.40 Don’t Tell Val to beat River Icon
3. Cart 15.40 Elusive Theatre to beat Shantou Tiger (1st vs 2nd rated)
4. Cart 16.10 Man of Steel to beat Abbeyview
5. Bev 16.30 Monsieur Glory to beat King of the Celts
SAW should have completed by now, but if recovery is needed for a 2nd target, here are the rest of the afternoon qualifiers. Please remember that 1 in 4 wins, so I’d suggest going no further than 2 with only 8 available at the moment.
6. Cart 16.40 Bell Weir to beat Beau Bay
7. Nott 16.50 Dominating to beat Amadeus Rox (1st vs 2nd rated)
8. Nott 17.20 Fantasy Gladiator to beat Frantical

[Dean Harris]

Most certainly Carl. I’ll be on it shortly.
With regards to the NRR, have you considered place laying the fav in the 2 place markets? The odds will be considerably lower and a lot of favourites don’t make it into the top 2 – reducing the amount of bum-twitchy moments….haha
Just a thought.

[Dean Harris]

Jmac, please don’t be disheartened by no interest. I am definitely interested but I am totally confused by what it all means (except race time and selections obviously).
As we know what you are trying to do, instead of supplying all your selections, maybe add a morning post with the number of selections you have found each day. Then at the end of the day, advise how many of those selections were winners and the daily profit/loss.
If it shows a good profit, maybe a thread for it can be opened and you can give more details as to how you come up with those selections.
It’s just a thought.
You are part of our winning team and we’d miss you if you went quiet.

[Dean Harris]

I have found one more AvB selection if anyone needs the recovery and it’s the BBOTD –

Wolv 19.40 Ghadaayer to beat Favourite Royal

[Dean Harris]

Sorry to hear that Elisabeth. I do recommend the SAW strategy.
My suggestion is to think of it as 1 in 4 wins, so based on the 7 I listed, ideally stop at 1 or because the first race won, stop at a 2nd (which came in the 3rd race).

[Dean Harris]

Carl – another AvBOOOOOOOMMM!!!!…haha

[Dean Harris]

(Hopefully) the moment you’ve all been waiting for –
AvB/DM list for today:

1. Leic 14.20 Leeshaan to beat Solid Man
2. Ling 14.40 A Sure Welcome to beat Royal Peace
3. Leic 14.50 Black Bubba to beat Cookie’s Star
4. Ling 15.40 Dream Magic to beat Miss Osier
5. Red 16.30 Logi to beat Kaeso
SAW should have hit in first five, but here are some more –
6. Red 17.00 Our Place in Loule to beat Kensington Palace
7. Leic 17.20 Ventura Blues to beat The Stalking Moon
Not yet any extra markets on the evening racing.

[Dean Harris]

There were 18 qualifiers on Saturday and even with Cartmel abandoned halfway through, there were 6 chances to stop.
Today’s AvB/DM list. There are 16 qualifying races – as always I suggest stopping at a winner but could go to 4.
1. Red 12.45 Bengali Boys to beat Wahoo
2. Wind 13.45 Zabaletaswansong to beat Rampant Lion
3. Chelm 13.55 Joe’s Spirit to beat Shawwal
4. Leic 14.05 Waves to beat Singing Sands
5. Cart 14.10 Golden Town to beat Dear Sire (1st vs 2nd rated)
6. Hunt 14.35 Dragon De La Tour to beat Charlie Mon
7. Chelm 15.05 Dukes Meadow to beat Thatsthewaytodoit
8. Hunt 15.10 Knights Parade to beat Monderon
9. Hunt 15.45 Raising the Bar to beat Potterman
10. Wind 16.05 Ickymasho to beat Eternal
11. Leic 16.25 Scorching Heat to beat Parfait
12. Cart 16.30 Jovial Joey to beat Presenting Junior
13. Wind 16.40 King of Spin to beat Rio Ronaldo
14. Leic 17.00 Rebel Surge to beat Indigo Princess
15. Cart 17.05 Full Jack to beat What’s Happening
16. Wind 17.15 Rita’s Man to beat Call Me Grumpy

[Dean Harris]

Thanks Ray. Glad it’s making a profit and as long as it does, I’ll still be posting. Thanks to Carl for his DM selections too.

[Dean Harris]

I don’t normally post on Saturday but AvB/DM has been on cracking form this week so thought I’d provide a list for today –

1. Good 14.00 Mount Logan to beat Abdon
2. Hay 14.20 Yorkidding to beat My Reward
3. Cart 15.20 Go West Young Man to beat Golden Investment
4. Hay 15.30 Second Thought to beat Mubtasim
5. Ches 15.40 Kapstadt to beat Sands Chorus
Should have seen a winner already but if you want to carry on –
6. Good 15.45 Desert Encounter to beat Second Step
7. Cart 15.55 Space Ship to beat Wisty
8. Cart 16.30 Pekanheim to beat Sergeant Pink
9. Cart 17.05 Cousin Oscar to beat Fantasy King
10. Ches 17.20 Okool to beat Voski
Stop at 3 winners???
11. Good 17.25 Contentment to beat Deleyla
12. York 17.30 Bahamian Bird to beat Madroos
13. Cart 17.35 Magic Money to beat Jester Jet (1st vs 2nd rated)
14. Ffos 18.00 Gang Warfare to beat Sir George Somers
15. Ffos 19.00 Market Road to beat Show’s Over (1st vs 2nd rated)
16. Ffos 19.30 Fortified Bay to beat Positively Dylan
17. Ffos 20.00 Heist to beat Minella Rebellion
18. Ffos 21.00 State Sovereignty to beat Eat My Dirt

With 18 possibilities (although the 18th should only be used if recovery needs it) there should be at least 5 winners today.
I’d still stop at 1, maybe 2, then put my feet up for the day.
Good luck

[Dean Harris]

AvB/DM – job done on 2nd race with Gold Filigree beating Axe Cap.

[Dean Harris]

Here are 3 of my outsiders for today –
Good 16.20 Darkroom Angel
Worc 20.20 Part and Parcel
Worc 20.50 Malpreedy

These are from the tippingsports tipster I’m following –
Bath 13.40 Secret Asset
Good 14.35 Handytalk
Pont 20.00 Highly Sprung (also 2nd rated)

[Dean Harris]

Hands up if you’ve been waiting for this list to appear?
Here are the AvB/DM for today –
1. Bath 13.40 Bahamian Sunrise to beat Silverrica
2. Bath 14.45 Gold Filigree to beat Axe Cap
3. Bath 16.30 Petrify to beat Gambol
4. Bath 17.05 Wapping to beat Prendergast Hill
5. Good 17.25 Midnightly to beat Rebecca Rocks
SAW should have kicked in from one of these 5 but there aren’t any more qualifying races at present anyway.

[Dean Harris]

Hi Elisabeth, I employ the loss recovery staking plan Pippin uses on his place strategy. Profit target x 1.06 (to cover commission) / (odds-1) = stake. If it loses, add the losing stake to the original profit target then apply the calculation again (PT + losing stake x 1.06 / (odds-1) = recovery stake).
Hope it helps.
Carl has the best selections for the strategy as most do finish in the placings if not win, so all I do is take his selections and match them up to the AvB market. If a long losing run occurs, stakes can get high, which is why I only go for a profit after the first winner – last 2 days have been first race, job done – Carl is that good.

This could easily be employed with a small bank and built up each day as long as the PT is reached early on. Carl has been braver then me and carried on but looking at results, this could easily go to 2 or 3 winners per day.

[Author]

Posts