Successful Strategies

[jacqueline mclean]

240 leic…3+2
310 leic…1+2
400 muss…2+4
420 font…5+1
455 font…3+6
500 sedg…7+2
525 font…1+2
600 sedg…2+5
730 sedg…3+1
845 wolv…4+nr

[jacqueline mclean]

thursdays class 4 or better handicap races

240 leic
310 leic
400 muss
420 font
455 font
500 sedg
525 font
600 sedg
730 sedg
845 wolv

[jacqueline mclean]

WEDNESDAYS RESULTS

300 muss…1+2…minus 1pt
320 catt…1+2…minus 1pt
340 ling…8+3…minus 1pt
420 catt…2+1…no bet
620 strat…2+1…plus 3.7pt
640 kemp…4+2…plus 9.9pt…cease betting plus 10.6pt for the day
650 strat…2+3
740 kemp…1
810 kemp…2+3

[jacqueline mclean]

wednesdays class 4 or better races(HANDICAPS ONLY) with matts choices by race card number

300 muss…1+2
320 catt…1+2
340 ling…8+3
420 catt…2+1
620 strat…2+1
640 kemp…4+2
650 strat…2+3
740 kemp…1
810 kemp…2+3

i would double check these against the ratings as i am prone to typo errors lol

[jacqueline mclean]

here is how to place a bet on betfair at less than their 2 pound minimum

follow the procedure in previous post

to place a 10p bet for example

place a 2 pound unmatched bet at 100

then click just behind the 2 pound and add a .10 to your 2 stake

click update bet

you will now have 2 bets showing…one of 2 pound and one of 10 pence both are unmatched

cancel the 2 pound bet by clicking the little x to the left

click update and you are now left with a 10 pence unmatched bet

if take sp is selected the bet will get matched at betfair starting price at the off

you can cancel any unmatched bets anytime before the off if you chose by clicking cancel unmatched bets

[jacqueline mclean]

here is how to place a bet at betfair sp

click on the back odds of your selection to start your bet

erase the odds on offer using the back key on your keypad

enter new odds at 100

enter your stake

confirm you bet

your bet will then show as unmatched

click the box underneath that says take sp

the bet will automatically match at betfair starting price at the off

if you wish to cancel the bet before the off due to poor price or any other reason just click cancel unmatched bets

[jacqueline mclean]

am just over a month into my 6 month subsciption…hardly a long enough period to get excited about past performance but still worthy of future consideration

i am liking the ratings very much and think mr levett’s contributions are just shy of brilliant…very impressed so far for sure!!!

my very early notes say

back any of matts race card ratings selects in any handicap race class 4 or better if 4.00 (decimal) or better at betfair sp…i place my bets on the exchange at 100 in advance and tick take starting price…i can cancel any bets a minute before the off if price does not suit as they are not matched bets…stop betting if a 5pt or better profit is achieved at any time

do the same with richards matched bet ratings but back all except odds on chances

these have performed with excellance in my short membership

fingers crossed for more of the same

[Pippin]

So the other strategy I’ve employed is to each on the first rated horses.

My daily profit target is 1.5% of my betting bank and my stake is 2% of my bank.

Again, using a £1000 bank as an example, I start and place £10 each way on the first rated horse. If the horse wins, subject to the above I stop.

If it gets placed, I use the same stake as the last race, increasing by £1 each way if it loses, going to a maximum of 4 straight losses before I restart at the initial bet eg £10, 11, 12, 13, 10.

Sometimes you sense bad days when very few winners come in, in which case I’d say if you have 5 straight losses, hang up your boots for the day and go again the next.

That said, it’s very rare for Matt to have 5 straight unplaced horses, although NB on big meeting like Royal Ascot where there are 15 plus runners you may be best to Dutch or adopt Richard’s (Levett’s) strategy.

This is just an idea. You have to find the right strategy for you!

Good luck.

[Pippin]

Ok, so I’ve been trying and testing the 90 minute strategy for the past few months now, as well as my own strategy and these ratings really can work for you. You just have to remember, you WILL have losing days, set a realistic daily profit level/loss level for you, don’t be greedy and stay disciplined.

With the 90 minute strategy I’ve found that you need at least a £1000 bank for a starting stake of £10. Have a stop profit figure. I’ve found somewhere between £30-60 is great. Alternatively, stop at a profit but adopt the below for bad days.

Increase by one point (ie £10) after each loss, ie £10, 20, 30 etc but you MUST have a stop loss to ensure discipline and to resist heavy losses, so I restart after 4 straight losses ie £40 on the last bet and stop altogether after 5 straight losses. Yes, you’ll see days when the next horse romps in at 9/1 (and yes that has happened to me by the way!) but resist the temptation to keep going otherwise you will end up being the loser. Remember Matt produces ratings, but he’s not a miracle man.

The other thing I’d add, is that if you miss a race, stop, even if you’re suffering a slight loss, and don’t try to chase profit. There WILL be other days. I’ve found that it goes horribly wrong when you don’t do this.

I will separately post my other strategy which has had fantastic results.

Good luck.

[Pippin]

Hi Dave

Likewise apologies for the delay in responding.

How did you get on today? I had a bad day. Out of interest do you have a stop loss figure or will you be implementing one after today?

Has anyone else any useful strategy tips?

Cheers
Phil

[Dave Roberts]

woops, that should be ‘hi Phillip’ 🙂

[Dave Roberts]

Hi Phillips,
sorry for the late reply. Ive been using a ‘stop at profit’ strategy, basically following 10-20-30etc bets until a win which shows a profit on the start of the day. Paper-trialling this in July showed me 66pts up over the month with one bad day of losing 8.5pts. The daily profit ranged from 0.12pt to 14pts and usually took 2-3 bets to achieve. This strategy suits me as ive got a job and family life to keep up with too 🙂
Dave

[Pippin]

Hi Dave,

Thanks for getting involved in this thread.

Out of interest, do you have a loss stop figure, or do you keep going ie 10, 20, 30 … 90, 100, 110 etc until a winner?

And from what you’re saying, you keep going through the whole day’s cards? With success?

Not sure if you’ve retained records. I’ve only been doing this a week, but it does strike me so far that the best return is by either selecting a sensible quit figure based upon your bet bank/starting bet and quit, even before 90 mins, and restart at the end of 4 straight losses, stopping at 90 mins even if with a loss, but I would appreciate it if someone could clarify the example strategy I quoted, or any other for that matter.

Regards
Philip

[Dave Roberts]

I would also appreciate some clarification on the points Phillip has brought up…I have been paper-trialling past results on a ‘rolling’ basis ie once get a win go back to £10 bet and continue, including rolling over to the next day. It leads to good profit but also a fair amount of squeaky-bum moments, stopping at 4/5 bets would also not work with this….
Dave

[Pippin]

Race Card Meetings.

You posted this strategy a while back which looks really interesting:-

“Race Card Ratings SEPTEMBER 3, 2013 AT 2:23 PM
I have been assisting many members personally and a common question I get asked is what method do I use (and if I actually use my Ratings at all?)

This is by no means the holy grail to success but for the past 18 months the system I use is as follows:
* First hour/90 mins Strategy.
RULES:
1. I bet on each race sequentially ie 2.00, 2.05, 2.10 etc
2. I only have one filter – I do not bet on odds less than 1/2
3. My starting bet is £20.00
4. I raise my bet by £10.00 for each losing bet
5. I stop at either 4 or 5 losing bets in a row (thus limiting my losses for that day)
6. I reset my bet to £20.00 after each winning bet.
7. I use only 1st Rated selections UNLESS it is a VALUE SELECTION and then I use this – You could split your stake between the two – dutch them etc
8. You must decide on whether to bet to WIN or EW depending on the odds. ~I usually bet to WIN unless the race is ultra competitive (group/listed/more than 14 runners)
9. I stop if reaching my daily target of £500 if reached before the 1st hour/90 mins.

A working example can be seen from taking the selections from:
Saturday 31st August and Sunday 1st September respectively.

31st August
1.55 Illuminating Dream 20.00 x 11/10 = 22.00
2.05 Burning thread 20.00 x 7/1 = 140.00
2.10 Walter White 20.00 x 4/7 = 11.43
2.20 Addictive Dream 20.00 x 12/1 (20.00)
2.30 York Glory (VS) 30 .00 x 9/2 (30.00)
2.40 Kingman NO BET 2/7
2.45 Jayandbe 40.00 x 9/1 360.00
2.55 Es Que Love (VS) 20.00 x 6/1 (20.00)
STOP if applying 1st hour
Gross profit: £533.43
less losing bets £70.00
NET £463.43
If applying the 90 mins
3.05 Come on Dave 30.00 x 6/1 (30.00)
3.15 Intergral 40.00 x 13/8(DH) 65.00 /2 32.50
3.20 Vimiero 20.00 x 9/2 90.00
3.30 Sun Central 20.00 x 4/1 80.00
3.40 Windeok 20.00 x 1/1 20.00
STOP
Additional gross profit £222.50
Less losing bet £30.00
NET £192.50 + £463.43 = £655.93 net profit from 90 mins of racing.

1st September
2.00 Pennys Boy 20.00 x 2/1 40.00
2.20 Falcarragh 20.00 x 6/5 24.00
2.30 Peake Royale 20.00 x 11/10 22.00
2.50 Dineur 20.00 x 6/5 24.00
3.00 Jan De Heem 20. 00 x 11/8 27.50

Gross/net profit £137.50
if proceeding with 90 mins the next 2 1st rated selections lost
so LESS £50.00 would have given you a net profit of £87.50

so over two days your total net profit if applying
60 mins – £463.43 + £137.50 = £600.93
90 mins – £655.93 + £87.50 = £743.43

I would recommend you view previous results and spend some time paper trialing this to see the Profit / Loss over the last 3 months.

I have a Loss limit of 4 bets = £140.00 (20+30+40+50)
You could start at £10.00 and have a loss limit of 5 bets totalling £150.00
You will need a betting bank of 5 x your points system so in the example above £750.00 (it guards against 5 total losing days in a row)”

I’m trying to understand your system as it looks really good. Please will you kindly clarify a few things:

1. What is the relevance of the 1st September example

2. do you totally stop betting if you lose 4 races on the bounce, or continue and

3. if you don’t achieve your £500 p/d do you continue betting until the END of the day, including evening meetings, or until you lose 4 races on the bounce, or until your overall daily loss falls below £140?

It’s just that I’ve been trial betting this past week and I can see that there are regularly 4/5+ races where there are no winners and short priced winners which don’t really realise much profit, so I’m finding it difficult to come up with a decent strategy.

It’d be great to have your or anyone else’s feedback on this.

[Author]

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