Members shared tips

[Michael Mortlock]

Hi Carl,
Why the thumbs up and down against Cape to Cuba?

[Dean Harris]

In response to Elisabeth’s question about my £1 to £100 challenge, here is a quick explanation.
I am looking into the AvB as a way to find a long win sequence – taking an initial £1 stake to £100 by rolling over the winnings each time.
It is not going well at the moment. However, I have managed to keep a profit each day by starting a new day afresh. So if the day wins, I win. If it loses, I have only lost £1 (yesterday first bet won but 2nd bet lost – total lost? You guessed it – £1 – I carried on and made 50p back on my last bet so although a losing day, my loss was actually only 50p and not £1).

What I am also doing, after 2 winning bets, is withdrawing my initial stake of £1 and effectively rolling over free money/profit/OPM, etc. When making a long sequence, I will plan to withdraw 10% from each winning bet to maintain a profit just in case one of the bigger bets loses – a no lose situation despite losing.

So there you have it folks. That’s it in a nutshell.
I am focusing on the AvB markets because it’s a 50/50 chance of getting it right – toss of a coin? red/black in roulette? – it’s definitely possible to get a good long sequence with the right study.
I will keep everyone updated with my progress.

[Carl]

Double match today .

NEWCASTLE

2.00 Kit Marlowe

2.30 Curiosity / Move It Move It

3.05 Auspicion

3.40 Briardale

4.15 Symbolic Star

4.50 Cool Strutter

5.20 That Is the Spirit / Right Touch

5.55 –

NEWMARKET

2.10 Dichato / Roland Rocks

2.40 –

3.15 Hart Stopper( I’ve got heart failure so betting on this seem counterintuitive ??)/ Mutoondresdashorse

3.50 Muhajjal

4.25 Khamaary

5.00 Surry Hope

5.35 Poets Society

NOTTINGHAM

2.20 Holy Tiber

2.50 Ponvoir Magique

3.25 Cape to Cuba

4.00 –

4.35 –

5.10 Rainbow Orse

5.45 Miningrocks / Street Art rfc ?

NEWBURY

5.50 Dancecase

6.20 Lexington Grace?

6.50 She Believes

7.25 Hollywood Road/ Boycie

8.00 Badenscotch

8.30 Deeds Not Words?

9.00 Monologue

HAMILTON

6.00 Tonto’s Spirit

6.30 Quayside

7.00 Bunce

7.35 Somnambulist / Tread Lightly

8.10 Miss Van Gogh / Peach Melba

8.40 Honeysuckle Lil

9.10 –

BBOTD 3.25 Nott – Cape to Cuba ??

LONGSHOTS

3.40 Newc – Top Notch Tonto 14/1

4.15 Newc – Sooqaan 12/1

4.00 Nott – Hellomoto 7/1

9.10 Ham – Manshood 6/1

[John Waters]

Trevor

I use the top jockey/top trainer strategy and normally find I get between 3 & 6 horses left.

My staking strategy is fairly simple

£4 Patent or £2 ew patent =£28.00
£2 lucky 15 or £1 ew lucky 15 =£30.00
£1 lucky 31 or 50p ew lucky 31 =£31.00
50p lucky 63 or 25p ew lucky 63 =£31.50

Overall I’m showing a profit due to big wins every 2-3 weeks & using betfred for most of the bets (patents I’ll have a look around for best odds) as an example Tuesday I had all 4 in and made over £1553 for £30 bet)

[John Waters]

Ew lucky 31 today

Newc 2.00 tale of tails
Newc 5.20 right touch
Newm 4.25 khamaary
Ham 7.35 Somnambulist
Ham 8.10 peach Melba

[Bob Watson]

Good morning all , my ew lucky 15 for today 9.10 ham Hee Haw
6.10 Tip Avalanche
8.0 Nby Badenscoth
5.45 Not Mining rocks good luck all today ,regards Bob.

[Trevor Cornish]

Hi john are your lucky15s based on your strategy if so how’s it getting on?

[jacqueline mclean]

thats correct pippin

on another note i have modified an old method with a twist—will publish this tomoz

it involves betting in handicaps only at 4+ bsp but this time when my rating match matts—OUTSTANDING day today…could be beginners luck—but i think not

[Pippin]

Evening JMAC, sorry to bore you with this, but am I right in saying you do your selections for IR or less runners AND you also add any of Matts rated to your selections for IR too? Cheers and sorry, Pippin

[jacqueline mclean]

https://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator—UNABLE TO POST TO MEBERS SHARED AGAIN

my ratings on selected races…suggested strategy is dutching…use the above calculator…there will only be 2 selects per race—dutch when ROI is 60%+

slim pickins tomoz—so far

nc

520—2-1

nm

315—1-3
500—2-1

not

510—4-8

[jacqueline mclean]

nr 730—-now reads 4-3

[Dean Harris]

Haven’t done too bad with the afternoon winners finder selections. Here are the evening ones –

Bath 18.30 In The Spotlight/Pastfact
Bath 19.00 Tulip Fever
Bath 20.00 Belledesert/Highly Sprung
Bath 20.30 Touwari
Bath 21.00 Moi Aussie/Aye Aye Skipper

Elisabeth, I will try to explain more about the £1-£100 challenge a bit later on – it’s my wife’s birthday and I am stuck for time at the moment.

[Neil Munro]

Tonight’s AvB DM 28/6/17

6.00 Pete So High to beat Zoffanist
6.40 Makanah to beat Cosmopolitan Queen
7.00 Tulip Fever to beat Mraseel
8.00 Belledesert to beat Highly Sprung
8.10 Artful Rogue to beat Clowance One
8.30 Touwari to beat Park Paddocks
8.40 Ascendant to beat Intimidator

Be lucky !

[Dean Harris]

Today’s winners finder selections –
Salis 14.40 Satchville Flyer/Intibaah
Salis 15.40 On To Victory/Stone the Crows
Carl 16.30 The Stalking Moon/Favourite Royal
Salis 16.40 Examiner/Takatul
Worc 17.20 Theo

I’m looking at a new strategy today using data in Racing Post and seeing if any match TPS. These are the selections it has come up with –
Worc 15.50 Knight of Noir
Salis 16.10 Sternrubin
Worc 17.20 Cillian’s Well
Kemp 19.10 Sparkle
Bath 20.00 Pixeleen/Belledesert (RFC maybe??)
Kemp 20.10 Artful Rogue (not Artful Dodger!!!!)

I also continue my £1 to £100 challenge today – no selections qualified yesterday after the only possible race ended with a NR.

[jacqueline mclean]

1 addition and 1 change due to nrs—going out now for a few hours so update later IF

sals 440—3-4-2

bath 600—1-3

[Author]

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