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  • #23570
    vince bradbury
    Participant

    Thoughts
    Salisbury
    5 of 7 races yesterday were won by front/prominent runners. The two exceptions were very well handicapped hold up horses in races with a a high number of front runners.
    S3.20. Subhaan. Front runner and R Varian AW to Turf. Almost worked yesterday
    S 3.50. Cribbs Causeway. Gets 3 yo allowance and is the only real front runner – could get a really easy lead. Pacarana is a real threat as is always prominent but does not lead. R Moore is 67% SR at Salisbury
    S. 4.50. Island Cloud. Put here that there are so many low grade front runners that it will be a hold up horse that takes the line. Kingscote great SR at salisbury

    Will try to look at beverly before 1pm

    #23567
    vince bradbury
    Participant

    Keith

    I am the same – I only get a chance when I am between things – hence I don’t post consistently. Yesterday was a classic – had a call at 8am and didn’t get time to look at the ratings/races until midday. I only post when I have time and have something different or substantive to the ratings. I hope to have time this morning

    #23564
    Keith
    Member

    Vince. Many thanks for posting your ‘thoughts’. They are always well thought out and reasoned and if I catch them in time have proved profitable for me. Trouble is I am often at work and only get to check your successes in hindsight. Thanks all the same. Keith.

    #23561
    vince bradbury
    Participant

    Thoughts
    Salisbury
    2.50. Trick of the light. Placed last stride nabbed
    3.50. Billesdon Bess. Won well. 6/1
    Beverley
    2.10. Arcavello. Won well 6/4f
    3.10. International Man. Placed by nk
    4.10. Alexander M. Lost last stride nabbed
    5.15. Mysterial. Lost Went to hard lost place in last stride

    #23560
    vince bradbury
    Participant

    from neil

    Frontwell

    3.00 Jack Snipe
    4.30 Get Home Now

    Salisbury

    1.50 Autumn Leaves

    Beverly

    2.10 Our Little Pony
    2.40 Gold Stone/Dandys Beano
    3.40 Chuvelin

    Chepstow

    6.45 Prodject Bluebook

    Yarmouth

    5.30 Hope Is High

    #23552
    LARRY DITCHBURN
    Participant

    That’s it for me then,£40 at 2/1.Off swimming now,Good afternoon.

    #23549
    Neil Munro
    Participant

    Long shot each way or tbp

    4.55 G Just Sherry

    #23548
    vince bradbury
    Participant

    Thoughts
    Salisbury
    2.50. Trick of the light. R Varian has a great record when his horses go from AW to turf first time. They normally improve significantly. I normally do a small bet regardless and is a profitable system.
    3.50. Billesdon Bess. or Playful Sound. Only two front runners in the race and they have both shown themselves very tough once they get to the front, though PS likes to stalk rather than lead. So BB could be tough to catch – like he did at goodwood last time. The R Varian horse (Serenada) needs considering if they go off too hard.
    Beverley
    2.10. Arcavello. The TPS selection has a massive draw bias to overcome….Front running low draws up to 1m are the selections
    3.10. International Man. Based on draw and run style has to be the non hcp bet of the day. Form substantially franked from last 2 runs – arabalet and codicil
    4.10. Alexander M. Should make all – the selections have got to progress significantly due to weights.
    5.15. Mysterial. Same reasons as before but close with Bev Bulllet but does have better speed figures.

    #23547
    Trevor Cornish
    Participant

    INFO

    3.10 BEVERLY GLOBAL CONQUERER 4/1
    Trainer says he was rough round the edges on debut. He’s learnt a lot from that and has raced well with other winners from the yard. Only concern is the wide draw today but has a strong chance.

    3.50 SALISBURY SERENADA 7/1 ew
    River varian is adamant that she is a nice filly and she’s well handicapped. He has tried her over further but has dropped her back to what he says is her best trip. She was a 3length 3rd to shutter speed and vintage folly in may. Varian says she has a bit to find with coconut creme but if she’s going to run in a group 1 that’s she entered for she’ll have to put up a challenge.

    #23543
    Neil Munro
    Participant

    Some long shot each way and tbp

    3.00 NA Nabhan
    3.10 B Miss Mo Brown Bear
    3.20 S Itsakindofmagic
    3.40 B Bold Spirit
    5.00 NA I Should Coco
    6.50 BA Court Dismissed
    7.50 BA Sage Monkey

    #23541
    LARRY DITCHBURN
    Participant

    I’m back,just noticed that the staking plan for my Non Handicap method has not appeared in my post .It is of course simply 1- 2 -4 -8. pts saw.
    Use any points value to suit.I started at £2.50 a point at the begining and built it up to £20.00 a point as the bank grew.Find the level you are happy with.

    #23529
    LARRY DITCHBURN
    Participant

    STRATAGIST still 4/5 on the exchange if you are quick!

    #23527
    LARRY DITCHBURN
    Participant

    Good morning,nice 13/8 winner in the 1st for us yesterday with the Method.
    The Non Handicap Method selections for Wednesday.

    1.50.Salisbury. STRATAGIST [exceeding diva]
    2.00.Newton Abbot. THE RAVEN MASTER [charlie rascal]
    2.10.Beverley. DANDYS BEANO [tale of tails]
    2.20.Salisbury. ROGUE [lord vetinari]
    If required;
    2.30.Newton Abbot. SNOW CASTLE [gettysburg address]
    2.40.Beverley. WENSLEY [me before you]
    3.10.Beverley. GLOBAL CONQUEROR [international man]
    3.30.Newton Abbot. ALCALA [knight of noir]

    Use 4 races only,in timed order.
    Stop at a winner.
    If NR use reserve selection.
    After the 1st race,if selection is 1/2 or worse,ignore and move on to the next selection.

    Hope we have great Wednesday!
    [Always bear in mind,that this is a long term profit method,and may show a slight loss on days when an odds on winner is found except in the 1st race]

    Good luck today.

    #23524
    Neil Munro
    Participant

    Bangor

    5.50 Dance Rock
    6.20 Excellent Team
    6.50 Deadley Move
    7.20 Dark Sunset
    8.20 Prince Khurram

    #23522
    Carl
    Participant

    Hi Guys and girls,

    Sheff Wed vs Sunderland = Sunderland Win @ 3.65

    Last years losing play off semi finalist Sheffield Wednesday are yet to win this season which is a concern for them as their first two starts didn’t look overly difficult. A defeat at Preston followed by just a come from behind point at home against QPR on Saturday suggests they may not have shook off their disappointment of last season. Relegated Sunderland looked a poor side last season but they have had a decent start getting a point against well fancied to do well Derby and then an excellent win 3-1 at Norwich on Sunday.

    Kind regards

    GF – Team

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