Members shared tips

[John Rees]

Larry Ditchburn
I joined the happy throng back in June and I have been racing seriously for 60 years and still don’t know half of it! I have been interested in all the
strategies and would remind some of the older members that Larry Ditchburn’s method is very similar to one that was popular in the 1960s and 1970s. It came
up with 4 races a day on a 1248 SAW basis, mainly around favourites and included handicaps and others and was successful for a long time with, I think, about
31% SR. However the day came when it hit a run of 19 losing races and on that staking it ruined a lot of “banks and previous profits! A similar method was
one with more filters and based on forecast favourites but profits were meagre and inconsistent. I would caution anyone to be very careful about any idea
that promotes a staking plan that suggests a stake eight times the basic stake entirely based on sequences. I finally learned this in the late 1980s and from
a late racing pal of mine, an engineer and mathematician, found ways of overcoming this problem, but it involves a total lack of greed and great patience.
I am sure Larry is on the right lines in concentrating on non-handicaps but there are some sweet fish in small field handicaps at times too.
I noticed today that Larry’s first race (1.20 Wolverhampton) was included in the list. I noticed a similar slip a couple of weeks ago. This race was also a
Nursery and these are handicaps for 2yo and do not qualify.
I am sure you are going in the right direction Larry but today’s results were 4 losers again I am afraid but keep up the good work. John (Short ‘Ed)

[LARRY DITCHBURN]

That’s the winner for today then.Princess Lyla at 5/4.I managed to get my £20 on at 2/1 this morning,hope you made something today.Good afternoon.

[Neil Munro]

Dundalk
4.45 Holy Cat
5.15 Harbour Beacon
7.20 Eleuthera
Tramore
7.10 Osco Mosco
7.45 Rubin James
8.15 Crumpledandcreased

[vince bradbury]

Night Thoughts.
Catterick.
I mentioned the draw and pace bias 10 days ago and it paid with a win/place. Tonight looks like a few good opportunities for the draw/pace system.
6.30 Demons Rock. Has to be the best bet on the card. Draw ok but more importantly seems the best pace angle. Sorority looks a threat but ground is unknown but pedigree (sire and dam) says he needs firm ground. Same applies to central city.
7.40. Lady JV. I have to stick with her. She has been placed everytime i put her up. She has a good draw and is one of only a couple of pacers. She has 11lb pull with P Words for a neck last time at the track. i can see the TPS selections and LJV all fighting at the line.
8.10. Danot. Lots of cannon fodder in the field. One of only two confirmed front runners and has a better draw than those at the top of the market.11lb pull with Carlovain for 1.5L for last time here where he was also short of room and blocked.
Newmarket. Matched with TPS on all except:
5.50. Cosmic Chatter. In great form and only twice been to the home and both times placed. 6f and 7f are the only two distances at the course where it pays to be up with the pace and this horse has the profile.

[Neil Munro]

Newb
2.40 Pursuingspeed
3.45 Outoftheflames
Wol
2.20 Indianaffair
4.00 Doswell also Miss Mumtaz looks good tbp
Nott
2.00 Northernangel
3.35 Sharjabridge*
4.40 Almayda
Cat
5.30 Petesohigh
6.30 Demonsrock
Newm
5.20 Mandarinprincess e/w or tbp

[Neil Munro]

Jacqueline’s selections which suit in-running all selections , dutching( first and second selections) forecast first 2/3

had a super duper day here adding a couple tweaks to calculations—fingers crossed for more of that—simply cut down on sp bets with plenty more in running—great return at 10p ir stake

wolv

150—2-1—-5-8
325—5—-3-4-8

nott

300—8—-2-1-7-6
440—4—-3-6-1-5

newb

310—2—-1-6-7
420—3—-1-7-2

newm

650—7—-8-3-4-6
725—5-1-4-8-7—no sp select
755—1—-2-5-4-3

catt

600—1—-2-5-3
630—2-1—-5-6
740—7—-2-4-1

dund

445—11-7-6
515—12-11-5
545—1-2-7
720—-9-1-11

tra

635—12-2-5
745—6-7-2

[LARRY DITCHBURN]

Good Morning,the Method had a winning day again yesterday
The Non Handicap Method selections for Friday.

1.20.Wolverhampton. PRINCESS LYLA [terri rules]
1.30.Nottingham. BARIG AL THUMAMA [eqtidaar]
1.40.Newbury. MERLIN MAGIC [purser]
2.00.Nottingham. GLOBAL PASSION [general marlus]
If required;
2.10.Newbury. JAWAAL [istanbul sultan]
3.35.Nottingham. SHARJA BRIDGE [rising]
3.45.Newbury. OUT OF THE FLAMES [mrs gallagher]
4.00.Wolverhampton. DOSWELL [deja]

Use 4 races only,in timed order.
Staking. 1 -2 -4 – 8 pts.
Stop at a winner.
If NR,use reserve selection.
If after the 1st race,selection is 1/2 or worse,ignore and move on to next race.

[Always bear in mind that this is a long term profit method,and may show a slight loss on the day that a short priced winner is found,except of course in the 1st race.]

Hoping for a decent Friday and good luck with your wagers.

[vince bradbury]

Quick thought
Nottingham
4.10. Dubai fifty. I can’t see the rating justification for Precision (hasn’t beaten cl4 and above opposition) and Quloob may have won twice but neither win has franking form. D50 beat Tor last time – that horse won a Cl2 next time. Granted Tor has had low weights for a while but did so against D50 as well and was beaten. Tor has beaten some v good horses lately but not D50 So form is rock solid.
4.40. Indulged. Best bet – last run was behind v good 2 sub winners. The numbers say she is at least 102OR….but here on 93.

[Neil Munro]

Frontwell
3.00 Jack Snipe up n/r
4.30 Get Home Now 1st
Salisbury
1.50 Autumn Leaves 1st
Beverly
2.10 Our Little Pony 3rd
2.40 Gold Stone/Dandys Beano 1st n/r
3.40 Chuvelin up
Chepstow
6.45 Prodject Bluebook 2nd
Yarmouth
5.30 Hope Is High 1st

[LARRY DITCHBURN]

That horse was fancied the way it was backed but I hope you all got the 5/6 available all morning.£20 at 5/6,thats me done for the day.Have a great afternoon everyone.

[Neil Munro]

Jacquelines shortlist

my shortlist for today

fon

300—7-4

sal

350—3-6
420—5-6
525—2-1

bev

440—4-2

yar

600—3-4

che

545—1-5
645—1-3
715—1-6
745—3-1

[Neil Munro]

Jacquelines selections for today which suit ir,dutching and forecast

fon

300—7-4-3-2

sal

350—3-6-8
420—1-5-2-6
525—2-6-1-4

bev

440—4-2-3-6

yar

600—3-4-7-2

chep

545—1-3-5
645—1-3-2
715—1-5-6
745—2-3-1

ireland

leo

535—7-2-8
740—2-3-4

tra

650—9-6-4
750—2-12-5

[stan jones]

.this is also my stop at a winner and stop at 3 winners as well a my place betting all winners,i’m here till sunday make the most of list you will get at least 4-5 winners in this list or ill stop betting lol

13.30 sky of stars
14.00 firmount gent
15.30 Psychedelic Rock

13.50 Autumn Leaves
14.20 Mutineer
15.20 Spinnaka
15.50 pacharana

14.10 Our Little Pony
14.40 gold stone

17.30 Hope Is High
18.00 Whosyourhousemate

17.15 never been to paris
17.45 native prospect
18.45 project blue book
19.15 Zavikon

[vince bradbury]

Thoughts – 2
Beverley
3.10. Reinbeau prince. The market principles are all drawn wide. Last run was a front running ride and needs to do sane today.
3.40. Chauvelin. Can’t take the risk on the fav that has never transferred AW to turf. So many front runners I have to go for a hold up who runs well here.
4.10. Roaring Rory. Can’t have the ratings selections due to Aphysics draw/jockey (P aspell 2 wins from 142 in 2017) and Y Cool has only ever won on AW and only places at doncaster on turf.

Based on yesterdays results – cover bets and place market look the most reliable markets for salisbury and beverley. Very competitive.

[LARRY DITCHBURN]

Good Morning,another 2/1 win for us yesterday using the Method,
The Non Handicap Method selections for Thursday.

1.50.SALISBURY. AUTUMN LEAVES [titchy digits]
2.10.BEVERLEY. ZIP ALONG [our little pony]
2.40.BEVERLEY. GOLD STONE [la belle mayson]
3.10.BEVERLEY. VICEROY MAC [mr carbonator]
If required;
3.20.SALISBURY. SPINNAKA [subhaan]
3.30.FONTWELL. PSYCHEDELIC ROCK [balancing time]
4.00.FONTWELL. FOREVER FIELD [black corton]
4.20.SALISBURY. HATHAL [ballet concerto]

Use 4 races only,in timed order.
Staking 1 -2 -4 -8. pts
Stop at a winner.
If NR use reserve selection.
If after the 1st race,selection is 1/2 or worse,ignore and move on to next race.

[Always bear in mind that this is a long term profit method,and may show a slight loss on the day that an odds on winner is found,except of course in the 1st race.]

Hope we have a good Thursday,and good luck if playing.

[Author]

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