Members shared tips

[stan jones]

s.a.3.w could be 5 here but stick with the 3
2.00 ridgeway flyer
2.10 mister whitaker
2.45 daiblo de sivola
3.05 west end story
3.15 some kinda lama
3.25 shankara
3.35 william money
3.45 saintare
3.55 artic sea
4.20 paint the clouds
4.30 mendip express
5.20 theatre bar
6.15 alabaster
6.45 langlauf
7.15 steel river
8.15 shan dub na ngall
my lucky 63
1.55 knockmoloe boy
2.25 apple jade
3.35 william man
4.20 paittheclouds
4.45 mendip express
8.15 shan dun na ngall

[Richard Levett]

Eachway longshot for this afternoon

Ludlow 1435 Emperor Commodos 25/1

[jacqueline mclean]

i think thats pippins post tom…i will put up the selection procedure at the end of the trial…it really is very very simple…good luck today

[Tom]

Thanks Jacqueline. To be honest I couldn’t find details of your strat but had copied the one below which mentions the 6 plus! Is your’s similar?

1. Use Betfair Exchange standard place option.
2. Matt’s first rated horse is always the preferred selection with the second rated in default.
3. We want odds between 1.6 and 3.5.
4. Races should have 6 plus horses
5. If the first rated is below 1.6 to place we move to the second rated and if neither are an option we swerve.
6. Your daily profit should be no more than 1% of your bet bank.
7. You calaculate your target profit/stake so e.g. If looking for £25 use the Jonny Bravo formula 25×1.06=£26.5/odds – 1 (so if 1.6, 0.6)=stake. If a race loses you add the lost stake to 25 and apply the formula again.
8. STOP AT WIN.
9. Stop loss is 5 races but I don’t think you’ll need it.

[jacqueline mclean]

that’s the kind of maths i like richard…i feel a visit to my local bookies could be on here…i hate to stress the traders out with my online accounts lol

[jacqueline mclean]

nope tom…who said that???

[Carl]

Richard thanks for that .I put a lucky 63 .

[Tom]

Jacqueline thanks for the trial selections. I note 3 of the races shown only have 5 runners (Lu 335 @ 445, K 745) – I thought
your Strat was 6 plus?

[Robert Eastabrook]

Richard-re Central Park might be a bit speculative due to it is mixed races.also I am not using software for the extra edge,just good old eyes and small brain,plus now a rolling pin. Good luck with Swindon,not for me doh.

[Richard Levett]

Carl, I’ve compared your double matched with mine, and re-run some probability analysis, and the following comes out which makes a juicy Lucky 63 with a win probability of 73.71%. This is mathematical quantitive modelling, its not fool proof (obviously) but does narrow the advantage, worth a look!

1410 Ludlow – Ridgeway Flyer
1620 Doncaster – Paint The Clouds
1630 Lingfield – Dangerous Ends
1645 Ludlow – Mendip Express
1720 Ludlow – Theatre Bar
2015 Kempton – Shan Dun Na Ngall

[Richard Levett]

Rob, let’s see what today brings, I only have Art of Illusion so far, the others numbers dont match!

[Carl]

My Goliath

Input welcome

2.00 Ridgeway Flyer
2.35 Mercian King
2.45 Diablo De Sivola
3.35 William money
4.20 Paint the Clouds
4.30 Dangerous Ends
5.20 Theatrebar
18.15 Alabaster

[Robert Eastabrook]

Dog bets for today

Hall Green 12.47 T5 Shlowdown Aiofe 2/1

Romford 3.33 T5 Blackthorn Brae

Yarmouth 8.57 T2 Al about class

Central Park
7.47 T5 Yasso Martin
8.50 T1 Sober Call
9.56 T6 Art of illusion

[Richard Levett]

One Greyhound bet for tonight, there may be more later once the Swindon card is priced up.

2 point win bet

Central Park

2156 Art of Illusion ( 7/4, B365, Betfred, Betfair )

[Carl]

Double match matt & form ratings

LUDLOW

2.00 Ridgeway Flyer /

2.35 Mercian King /

3.05 Westend Story

3.35

4.10

4.45 Mendip Express /

5.20 Theatrebar /

DONCASTER

2.10 Mister Whitaker

2.45 Diablo De Sivola

3.15 Some Kinda Lama

3.45

4.20 Paint the Clouds

4.55

LINGFIELD

2.20

2.55

3.25 Shankara / Wedding Breakfast

3.55 Mitigate

4.30 Dangerous Ends

5.05 Synodic / Henry Grace

KEMPTON

5.45 Mowhoob

6.15 Alabaster

6.45

7.15 Steelriver / Under Siege

7.45 Winderlude

8.15 Shan Dub Na Ngall

[Author]

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