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[Ray Edwards]

Thanks Carl,
I was expecting something complicated!
Ray

[Carl]

Ray .7/20 system is just back every rated horse inc.Irish that’s between 6/1 to 19/1 EW ..SIMPLE AS .

[Ray Edwards]

Carl,
Where can I find the 7-20 system?
Thanks
Ray Edwards

[vince bradbury]

For later
CH 6.40 Dynamo Watt. I did have an angle on Dynamo Watt to beat Momentofmadness at chelmsford but that fav is now out. So DW is my pick – loves Chelmsford- a lot of horses don’t. The new fav/2nd Fav haven’t got consistent form at CH so DW still looks good.

FL 2030 Samdibien. Was giving Pongo Twistleton 12lbs when beating that rival 4L on last run at Southwell. PT ran well last time at Huntingdon but form indicates the horse likes right handed tracks only. Ffos Las is left handed akin to Southwell.

Will post any other insights if I stumble across them

[Dean Harris]

AvB/DM list (sorry it’s later than usual) –
There are only 6 so definitely stop at 1.
1. Wolv 14.20 World Power to beat Arnarson
2. Ham 15.30 Gaelic Tiger to beat Falcon’s Fire
3. Wolv 16.20 Lord Murphy to beat Muthraab Aldaar
4. Ham 16.30 Amy Blair to beat Archipeligo
5. Ham 17.00 Cliff Bay to beat Archi’s Affaire
6. Wolv 17.20 Caledonia Laird to beat Ettie Hart

[vince bradbury]

Neil

I would prefer the ratings second selection – Caledonian Laird. Misu Pete came 2nd last time in a really poor race that was won by a 14 race maiden from out of the weights; I can’t see an angle for obviously overturning Air of York. CL – has solid form based on the penultimate run at the course and there are positives on the last run. If AoY runs to same level as last run then CL will need to improve by at least 7lbs on the penultimate run; on RPRs CL has only ever done this once in 47 races.
As the ratings flagged CL up I didn’t update but it is the value/safe bet to place at 11/10.

[Robert Eastabrook]

Football bet

Nigeria to beat Togo

Dog bets
Romford
4.08 T1
4.27 T1
5.22 T1

[Neil Munro]

Vince,

What about 5.20 Misu Pete seems to be on a low mark could be worth an e/w

[Carl]

Double match today looks interesting mostly all 1st rated .
Today I’m doing AvB ..NRR and place market all SAW …after they all win I will wait until evening betting and do place market SAW stop on 2 wins .

LINGFIELD

1.40 Not After Midnight

2.10 She Believes

2.40 –

3.10 Pondering

3.40 Makkadangdang

4.10 Rotherwick

4.40 Av A Word

5.10 –

WOLVES

1.50 Dutch Courage(golden age ??)

2.20 World Power

2.50 –

3.20 La Vie En Rose

3.50 Pavilion

4.20 Lord Murphy

4.50 Makhfar

5.20 Air of York / Caledonia Laird

HAMILTON

2.00 Villatora

2.30 Noah Amor

3.00 Casterbridge

3.30 Gaelic Tiger

4.00 Forever A Lady

4.30 Amy Blair

5.00 Cliff Bay

FFOS LAS

6.00 Qalinas

6.30 Belmont

7.00 Ascendant /Ballyrock

7.30 Pretty Little Thing

8.00 Hint of Grey / Skewiff rfc?

8.30 Pongo Twistleton

9.00 Powderonthebonnet

CHELMSFORD

6.10 Emilia James

6.40 A Momentofmadness

7.10 Tricon / City of Joy

7.40 Normandie Lady

8.10 Top Mission / Buxted Dream

8.40 Celebration day / Cape Peninsular

9.10 King Olav

NEWCASTLE

6.20 London Glory

6.50 Fredricka

7.20 Almane

7.50 –

8.20 –

8.50 Henley

BBOTD 1.50 Wolv – Dutch Golden Age ?

LONGSHOTS

5.20 Wolv – noble act 22/1

7.10 Chel – Mailshot 33/1

[vince bradbury]

Ok longshots for the afternoon venues with logic:

First note – Lingfield is on the turf not AW. Remember there is a golden highway for front runners most of the time. So watch/learn from the first runs to see if it is in effect and the jockeys are using it. The two for Lingfield are in really competitive fields.

L 2.40 Conqueress. If you ignore last run on soft – Sire Dandy Man has poor record on soft ground. Horse has a great profile and has won at lingfield turf….they are on the turf not AW.
L 4.40 Modoree. One of the potential front runners to make the most of the lingfield golden highway and has top speed fig (ATR). Looks like a lenient opening mark by about 7lb on last 2 runs and trainer is 49% (Win & Place) for last 2 weeks. Looks like a plot to me.

W 350 muirsheen durkin. Sire fastnet Rock has a great record on tapeta (24% Win SR cl2-5) – has never ran a bad race since debut. Fav Pavillion will be hard to beat but we have to try and there is value due to Pavillion taking a lot of the market

H 3.00 reckless serenade. 2 wins at Ham with soft…last run is franked by all but one horse ahead – all winning/running v well. Hamilton could be soft/good soft with the forecast rain by the time this race goes off.

Your decision – I’m just informing of an angle

I’m trying to find an angle to take on Air of York (W 5.20) but can’t see a good one yet but will pass on if I find one. It has taken so much value out of the market that a good ew will be very profitable.

[Elisabeth]

FOOTBALL from Kieran, One Win A Day
(5days wins, then yesterday lost in 90th min)

LEAGUE: U20 Fifa World Cup
MATCH: France U20 Vs Italy U20
TIP: Over 2.5 Goals
STAKE: 0.5 Pt Stake (half stakes)
DECIMAL ODDS: 2.2

[Robert Eastabrook]

Early bird EW or place or win up to you.

Lingfield 14.40 Chicago Star.

Trying to be lucky.

[Carl]

Dean …BOOM

. Cart 15.40 Elusive Theatre to beat Shantou Tiger

FULL recovery ..JOB DONE

[Dean Harris]

AvB/DM – job done with ease in 3rd race.

Carl, NRR – Fave won 1st qualifying race (both win and 2 places bets lost) – but recovery on 2nd race complete for both win and 2 places. Not really squeaky bum moments but odds would have been smaller in the 2 places market.
I have a loss recovery method in the 2 places markets but it’s based on higher odds selections – may consider the faves as well now.

[Dean Harris]

Today’s AvB/DM list –

1. Bev 14.00 Just for the Craic to beat Our Little Pony
2. Cart 14.40 Don’t Tell Val to beat River Icon
3. Cart 15.40 Elusive Theatre to beat Shantou Tiger (1st vs 2nd rated)
4. Cart 16.10 Man of Steel to beat Abbeyview
5. Bev 16.30 Monsieur Glory to beat King of the Celts
SAW should have completed by now, but if recovery is needed for a 2nd target, here are the rest of the afternoon qualifiers. Please remember that 1 in 4 wins, so I’d suggest going no further than 2 with only 8 available at the moment.
6. Cart 16.40 Bell Weir to beat Beau Bay
7. Nott 16.50 Dominating to beat Amadeus Rox (1st vs 2nd rated)
8. Nott 17.20 Fantasy Gladiator to beat Frantical

[Author]

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