Welcome to the TPS strategies page!

We want you to get the best out of our ratings. We know that our ratings are by far the best in the country, but we understand that it can be a little daunting at first, and some new members have a hard time finding a way to make regular profits. So here are some of the most profitable strategies that our current long standing members are using.....

Please take your time to read through them, check out the results and get involved on the relevant forum pages. The best way to learn and to profit is by working together and interacting, so don't be afraid to post comments on the forum.

 

The strategies outlined below are proven strategies, most of which have been devised by our members. The TPS ratings provide a solid strike rate and results are very consistent. This is a great starting base for any strategy!


Strategy 1:       *NEW  Place Strategy (1.4 Max Odds)

 

 

Overall strategy

 

Employing ALL TPS Place Selections to win at BSP 1.4 or under.

This Strategy is designed to play a sequence of bets until an overall profit is achieved, each time we encounter a losing bet the next stake in the staking plan is placed on the next Place bet at 1.4 or under, continue increasing the stakes for each bet until the overall win in the sequence is achieved.

 

Staking Plan is shown on the results page for this strategy.

In the proofing shown we began with £500 working bank and £1500 reserve bank, but we do not envisage using the reserve bank unless we encounter a run such that we have not observed nor anything near to date.

The gearing for this staking began at 1% of the staring bank of £500 which mean't the first stake was £5.00 the next staking increments in a loosing sequence would be as per 2nd stake below and so on until you achieve an overall sequence gain.

 

1st   Stake =  1% of £500   = £5.00

2nd   Stake = Stake 1  * 2  = £10.00

3rd   Stake = Stake 1  * 3  = £15.00

4th   Stake = Stake 1  * 4  = £20.00

5th   Stake = Stake 1  * 5  = £25.00

6th   Stake = stake 1  * 6  = £30.00

7th   Stake = Stake 1  * 7  = £35.00

8th   Stake = Stake 1  * 8  = £40.00

9th   Stake = Stake 1  * 9  = £45.00

10th  Stake = Stake 1  * 10 = £50.00

11th  Stake = Stake 1  * 11 = £55.00

12th  Stake = Stake 1  * 12 = £60.00

13th  Stake = Stake 1  * 13 = £65.00

14th  Stake = Stake 1  * 14 = £70.00

15th  Stake = Stake 1  * 15 = £75.00

16th  Stake = Stake 1  * 16 = £80.00

17th  Stake = Stake 1  * 17 = £85.00

18th  Stake = Stake 1  * 18 = £90.00

19th  Stake = Stake 1  * 19 = £95.00

20th  Stake = Stake 1  * 20 = £100.00

21st  Stake = Stake 1  * 21 = £105.00

22nd  Stake = Stake 1  * 22 = £110.00

23rd  Stake = Stake 1  * 23 = £115.00

24th  Stake = Stake 1  * 24 = £120.00

25th  Stake = Stake 1  * 25 = £125.00

26th  Stake = Stake 1  * 26 = £130.00

27st  Stake = Stake 1  * 27 = £135.00

28nd  Stake = Stake 1  * 28 = £140.00

29rd  Stake = Stake 1  * 29 = £145.00

30th  Stake = Stake 1  * 30 = £150.00

 

You will very rarely ever need all of these stakes, but even if you need to run with them all, the actual loses in the sequence will be reduced significantly by many winning bets throughout the sequence. So far I have never been uncomfortable during even the worst runs I have experienced which have only ever used around 50% of the 'WORKING BANK'.

 

Once the overall gain is achieved the sequence stops and you ideally start another at either the new starting stake or continue with the next stake on the plan up to stake eight (optional - see following explanation). You could if you choose simply stop for the day once a profitable sequence is achieved.

 

In the case of the daily roster, finishing without concluding a winning sequence, continue the bets the next day (or when ever you are able) following on from where we finished on the staking plan.

 

The real benefit with this strategy is the longer the conclusion takes, the higher the stakes become, but because this is based on betting at Max 1.4 odds the strike rate is incredibly high, which means the overall sequence deficit in an in-concluded run is considerably reduced by the frequent small wins along the way. Therefore normally by the time the 'OVERALL' winning bet occurs the raised stakes yield an 'enhanced profit'.

 

I recommend a working bank (for our proofing we use £500) but you should use whatever you are comfortable with) and a reserve bank of three times the start bank (£1500)to begin with. My first stake began at £5.00 (or 1% of the working bank of £500), each stake then rises as shown in the staking plan until an overall profit is achieved in the sequence.

 

As the banks build up a compounding factor raises the staking plan to work towards good long term growth, in the first month of live proofing this strategy produced well over 40% growth on the start bank, so at approx 40% growth month on month it won't be long until we see considerable monthly profits

 

Each time a concluded winning sequence is achieved, the profits are shared equally between the working bank, which compounds the staking plan, and the reserve bank which builds up to provide us with additional 'INSURANCE' should we encounter any difficult runs in the future.

 

Also as the strike rate is very high, frequently we see runs of well over 12 consecutive wining bets. I personally run my bets using a stake increase up to stake number 8 then reset back to the first stake. Hopefully all these bet/stakes will result in successful winning sequences, but if not as soon as a loss occurs just keep running with the staking increments until the overall gain occurs. Then simply bank the profits as explained previously (50% into the working bank and 50% in the reserve) and start again on stake number one.

 

You can decide on how many staking increments you want to run with after each win, it works well with 8 as shown in the proofing, but if you feel safer to reset after ever gain that's fine too. (you may wish to run with 3 4 or 5 until you become more familiar with the system.

 


Strategy 2:  *NEW 2NdRPlaceLAY's (4 Max Odds)

 

 

Overall strategy

 

Employing the TPS 2nd Rated Selections Lay all under 4 BSP.

This Strategy is designed to play a sequence of bets until an overall profit is achieved, each time we encounter a losing bet the next stake in the staking plan is placed on the next Lay bet, continue increasing the stakes for each bet until the overall win in the sequence is achieved.

 

Staking Plan is shown on the results page for this strategy.

In the proofing shown we began with £500 working bank and £1500 reserve bank, but we do not envisage using the reserve bank unless we encounter a run that we have not observed nor anything near to date.

The gearing for this staking began at 0-001% of the staring bank of £500 which mean't the first stake was just £0.50p the next staking increments in a loosing sequence would be as per 2nd stake below:-

 

1st Stake = 0.001% of £500 = £0.50

2nd   Stake = Stake 1  * 2.20

3rd   Stake = Stake 2  * 2.25

4th   Stake = Stake 3  * 1.33

5th   Stake = Stake 4  * 1.33

6th   Stake = stake 5  * 1.33

7th   Stake = Stake 6  * 1.33

8th   Stake = Stake 7  * 1.32

9th   Stake = Stake 8  * 1.28

10th  Stake = Stake 9  * 1.25

11th  Stake = Stake 10 * 1.24

12th  Stake = Stake 11 * 1.24

13th  Stake = Stake 12 * 1.23

14th  Stake = Stake 13 * 1.22

15th  Stake = Stake 14 * 1.22

16th  Stake = Stake 15 * 1.21

17th  Stake = Stake 16 * 1.21

18th  Stake = Stake 17 * 1.19

19th  Stake = Stake 18 * 1.18

20th  Stake = Stake 19 * 1.17

21st  Stake = Stake 20 * 1.16

22nd  Stake = Stake 21 * 1.15

23rd  Stake = Stake 22 * 1.14

24th  Stake = Stake 23 * 1.13

25th  Stake = Stake 24 * 1.12

26th  Stake = Stake 19 * 1.11

27st  Stake = Stake 20 * 1.10

28nd  Stake = Stake 21 * 1.09

29rd  Stake = Stake 22 * 1.08

30th  Stake = Stake 24 * 1.07

 

You will very rarely ever need all these stakes but even if you need to go half way the actual loses in the sequence will be reduced by some winning (in our case losing Lay Bets) So far I have never been uncomfortable during even the worst runs I have experienced.

 

Once the overall gain is achieved the sequence stops and Ideally another begins at the starting stake and so on. (you could if you choose to simply stop for the day if a profitable sequence is achieved.

 

In the case of the daily roster, finishing without concluding a winning sequence, continue the bets the next day (or when ever you are able) following on from where we finished on the staking plan.

 

The real benefit with this strategy is the longer the conclusion takes, the higher the stakes become, but because this is based on Lay betting the strike rate is reasonably high, which means the overall sequence deficit in an in-concluded run is considerably reduced by the frequent Lay's (or loosing Bets) along the way. Therefore normally by the time the 'OVERALL' winning bet occurs the raised stakes yield an 'enhanced profit'.

 

I recommend a working bank (for our proofing we use £500) but you should use whatever you are comfortable with) and a reserve bank of three times the start bank (£1500)to begin with. My first stake began at £0.50 (or 0.001% of the working bank of £500), each stake then rise as shown in the staking plan until an overall profit is achieved in the sequence.

 

Although the first stake is very small the compounding factor still allows very good long term growth, in fact the first month produced well over 60% growth on the start bank, so 60% growth month on month would be VERY rewarding as we continually add the profits and grow the stakes slowly and surely.

 

In fact the early proofed records show over £830 profit in just six weeks, and that's from a starting working bank of £500.

 

Each time I achieve a concluded winning sequence, I share the profits between the working bank, which compounds the staking plan, and the reserve bank which builds up to provide us with additional 'INSURANCE' should we encounter any difficult runs.

 

This is the way I manage the strategy and is exactly reflected in the proofed results.

 

 

 


Strategy 3:  'TRPlace 10 & 5 Races

Overall strategy

 

Employing the TPS Top Rated Selections in either the first 5 or first 10 races  each day and BACKED to Place at Betfair Starting Price (BSP).

This Strategy is designed to play a sequence of bets until an overall win or profit is achieved, each time we encounter a losing bet the next stake is increased by 8% and this increase continues for each bet until the overall win in the sequence is achieved.

 

Once the overall gain is achieved the sequence stops and Ideally another begins at the starting stake and so on. (you could if you choose to simply stop for the day if a profitable sequence is achieved.

 

In the case of the daily roster (5 or 10 bets whichever strategy you decide to use), finishing without concluding a winning sequence, continue the bets the next day (or when ever you are able) following on from where we finished on the staking plan.

 

The real benefit with this strategy is the longer the conclusion takes, the higher the stakes become, but because this is based on PLACE betting the strike rate is high (TOP RATED TPS selections average around 50% SR) which means the overall sequence deficit in an in-concluded run is considerably reduced by the frequent place wins along the way. Therefore normally by the time the 'OVERALL' winning bet occurs the raised stakes yield an 'enhanced profit'.

 

I recommend a working bank (for our proofing we use £1000 but you should use whatever you are comfortable with) and a reserve bank of the same value to begin with. My first stake began at therefore began at £7.50 (0.75% of the starting working bank of £1000), each stake then rises by 8% until an overall profit is achieved in the sequence.

 

Each time I achieve a concluded winning sequence I deposit 20% of the profit (or 1/5th) into the working bank, This is used to raise the stakes for the starting stake for the next sequnce. In other words the new starting stake for the next sequence will be 0.75% of the working bank which will now be £1000 plus 20% of the previous sequence gain.  The remainder (80%) of the winning sequence profit is deposited into the Reserve Bank, so in practise the further we go the safer we become.

 

This is the way I manage the strategy and is exactly reflected in the proofed results.

 

I am currently working on producing a 'staking/banking model to automate the staking plan, but right now I calculate as I go.

 

Summary - use either 10 or 5 race strategy or both whichever suits you.

Select the Top Rated in each race and back to Place.

Starting Stake = 0.75% of the Working Bank.

Next stake/s +8% of the previous stake until you make a sequence profit.

After a Sequence win either stop for the day or start a new sequ

If you finish the daily rosta without concluding a winning sequence, simply continue the next day or the next day when you are able to bet. Remember continue on the staking progression until you conclude an overall winning sequence.

After concluding a winning sequence add 20% of the winnings to the working bank and add the remainder to a reserve bank. Reset the new starting stake to 0.75% of the new working bank total.


Strategy 4 - Jason's Dutching Strategy

Well I have just collected my profit for today, and here is how to do it......

I have been 'dutching' the 1st and 2nd rated horse, starting with the first
race of the day, here are the rules:

Set my daily target of £15

1) Skip the race if one of the top 2 rated is a non runner
2) Skip the race if one of the horses is 'odds on'
3) split your stake with the intention of winning your profit target regardless of which horse wins
4) If they both lose, repeat for the next race but this time you add the losses from the previous races!

 

JASONS DUTCHING RESULTS CLICK HERE


90min Strategy

The strategy works as follows – (you can use what ever multiple you choose)

I bet either £10/20/30/40/50 or mostly £20/30/40/50/60 resetting back to £10 or £20 after each winner.

We provide our top 2 rated horses for every race. We will be using the 1st rated horse.

If the 1st rated is a non runner we often use the 2nd rated as this becomes the 1st rated by default. But you can choose to skip any races where the 1st rated isnt declared.

In addition you should set a daily profit target and if you hit it, stop regardless of where you are in the 90 min strategy.

For example, the 2nd race yesterday Azure Amour won at 5/1 – £30.00 x 5/1 banked £150.00 less the £20 from the 1st race loser means a net of £130.00. I actually stopped at that point as I like to make £100 a day if possible.

You must also have a stop loss – mine is the £50 or £60 last bet – it means there has been 5 continuous losing bets.

So I can lose either £150.00 or £200.00 on any one day. I also dont bet EVERY Day – We do not include Saturdays and Sundays in our results as I don't find it worthwhile betting on these days!

"Matt, 2nd bet won today, bagged £60 profit, that's me done, thanks for the great service"
"Such a simple but effective strategy, sticking to £20 per day and already up over £240 this month"
"£50 done and dusted after 1st race"
"Booooom.... £75 Profit on my first day, Great service!!"


 Jame's Prize Points Strategy

This is a PROVEN strategy that works along side the TPS ratings. This strategy was devised by ‘James’ who is one of our long standing members. James has spent a lot of time perfecting this strategy and his efforts have paid off with a very profitable system.

"I have been a member now for 5 months and firstly I would like to say a huge thank you and well done to everyone who contributes on the forum. The information and advice offered is unbelievable!!"

It has taken the 5 months to now settle on a strategy that suits both my style of betting and profit targets. I have taken Matt’s advice and used the ratings and also done a little bit of my own research and hard work! Therefore, my strategy begins the night before a days racing as soon as prices are posted on the Racing post website.

 

The Strategy:

I limit my betting to races containing 8 runners or less and quickly go through all cards to find them – this varies from 6 races a day to 12 on busy days later in the week. All race types except sellers and claimers are included.

I then use an old rating method that has previously served me well to rate the top horses in each race. The rating system is:

Score the horse for his last 3 runs – 5pts for a win, 3 pts for 2nd, 2 pts for a 3rd and 1pt for a 4th.

  • If the horse has won over course award 2pts
  • If the horse has won over distance award 3pts
  • If the horse has won over course and distance award 4 points
  • If the horse has been a beaten favourite award 2 pts
  • Finally if the horse is in the first 3 of the betting award 3 points.
  • Therefore a maximum score for a horse would be 24 pts.

To this score I then add the horses RPR (Racing Post Rating).

To this I then allocate a score depending on the price of the horse at that given time. This scoring is as follows:

  • Evens – 23
  • 11/10- 21
  • 6/5 – 21
  • 5/4 – 20
  • 11/8 – 19
  • 6/4 – 18
  • 13/8 – 17
  • 7/4 – 16
  • 15/8 – 16
  • 2/1 – 15
  • 9/4 – 14
  • 5/2 – 13
  • 11/4 – 12
  • 3/1 – 11
  • 10/3 – 11
  • 7/2 – 10
  • 4/1 – 9
  • 9/2 – 8
  • 5/1 or longer 7
  • A score of 24 is given to odds on horses regardless of price.

Therefore an example would be:

2.15 @ Lingfield – Aurora Grey

Form Score – 17

RPR – 75

Price when calculated – 11/8 – 19

Total – 111

Once all races are covered I then wait until the morning to check my scores with Matts ratings and also Richards matched ratings. If the same horse comes up as top rated then it is a selection.

I combine selections in yankees, trixies etc but they can also be bet in singles.

The strike rate has been very high ranging from 40% to 75% most days and there have even been a couple of days with a 100% strike rate.

Click here to go to the Strategy Forum page

"James, your selections are gold mate, keep it up"
"Just started using your strategy, Can't fault it so far, 3 winners today"
"Gem of system you've come up with here James"

Pipping's PRS Strategy

Pippin has had amazing success with this simple but effective strategy. If you are looking for a quick solution

So guys and gals, I thought I’d better share this Place Recovery System with you which is operates at 100% success (according to my records) and it is a slight play on some of the strategies we’ve seen before.

 

So how does it work:-

 

  1. Use Betfair Exchange standard place option.
  1. Matt’s first rated horse is always the preferred selection with the second rated in default.
  1. We want odds between 1.6 and 3.5.
  1. Races should have 6 plus horses
  1. If the first rated is below 1.6 to place we move to the second rated and if neither are an option we swerve.
  1. Your daily profit should be no more than 1% of your bet bank.
  1. You calaculate your target profit/stake so e.g. If looking for £25 use the Jonny Bravo formula 25×1.06=£26.5/odds – 1 (so if 1.6, 0.6)=stake. If a race loses you add the lost stake to 25 and apply the formula again.
  1. STOP AT WIN.
  1. Stop loss is 5 races but I don’t think you’ll need it.

 

Click Here For Pippins Forum Page

"Pip, Im loving this strategy, so consistent it's unbelievable"

"Over £2k profit in 4 months aint bad at all"
"Similar to the 90min strategy, Works a treat"


TPS Rated Top Jockey/Trainer Selection Process

 

  1. Open up SportingLife.com and make a note of the following – date, venue, time, top jockey (by number of wins), top trainer (by number of wins), name of horse being ridden by top jockey, name(s) of horse(s) trained by top trainer (list them all if more than 1), how many naps for each selection (if any or 0 if none), number of runners, race type (as detailed at the top of the page on SL.com). If the same horse is ridden and trained by the top jockey and top trainer, then just make a note of the one horse.

NOTE: if there is more than one jockey or trainer with the same amount of wins, then go by highest percentage. If still the same, list them all.

  1. Open up the TPS ratings and make a note of which horses on the above list are rated 1st or 2nd. Eliminate the rest (we are only interested in the TPS rated selections that match).
  2. Now eliminate any selections that are in the following race types – Hunter’s Chase, NHF (National Hunt Flat) or Novice Handicap Hurdle
  3. Focusing on the 1st rated horses first, eliminate any selections that are in races of 4 or less runners and 10 or more runners. Only races of 5 to 9 runners should remain. (This should only be at time of checking and doesn’t matter if non-runners occur afterwards).
  4. Now eliminate any 1st rated selections that are running in AW Handicap and are NOT napped. Only horses that are 1st rated in an AW Handicap and napped should remain.
  5. Now focus on the 2nd rated horses. Eliminate any races with 3 or less and 12 or more runners. Only races with runners between 4 and 11 should remain.
  6. Finally, eliminate any 2nd rated horses running in a Handicap Hurdle.
  7. The remaining horses are the qualifying selections for the day.

 

Staking

Here is a list of possible profitable staking plans –

Plan #1 – Level staking – 1pt on each selection every day.

Plan #2 – Progressive staking – 1% of bank on each selection every day. As the bank grows, so does the stake.

Plan #3 – Profit target – staking a certain amount on the first selection to win a specific amount, using loss recovery and stopping at a winner or after 5 losses. Avoid odds-on selections.

Fun bet – EW lucky 15. Take the first 4 selections and put them in an EW lucky 15.

 

Small sample of typical day

More strategies to be added soon.....


Carls Double Match System

 

CARL LISTS HIS 'DOUBLE MATCH' SELECTIONS ON HIS FORUM PAGE EVERYDAY - CLICK HERE

 

6 days a week against Matts Ratings and on a Sunday Matched against Richards
D.M  differs from the "Matched Ratings" in that I focus on the place market.
Double match has been posted on the forum for over six months and proved highly profitable. Showing extended periods of loss free betting, month after month with only the occasionally down, but that's the beauty of the place market, it's just easier to hit the win. I'm more flexible than most in the way I bet, but here are the simplest ways to use D.M;
 - We are betting a 'place' on all selections.
 - I fix my lowest odds at 1.3 for all place market bets.
 - No upper limits.
There are 3 ways in which you can use my Double Match Selections:

 

Method 1:
Just bet them all. Simple as that. Use betfair place market or any bookie offering place betting, don't worry about missing out on the 1st places (we get quite a few most days)
A win's a win and place betting is much safer.
You can bet them with a fixed win figure in mind i.e adjust your bet so all wins are equal, say £10 regardless of the odds (fixed winning).
Or with a straight flat bet and take the rough with the smooth.
Both ways make profit, different amounts on different days, sometimes flat betting has a better day than flat winning, overall flat winning does slightly better.
We do get loosing days this way, but never dramatic and the wins far out way losses in the long run .

 

Method 2:
Following method one, but use a full recovery calculation after each loss.
I will not go into to the math there's plenty already about that on the forum.
This method obviously carries more risk as the recovery can roll up and get expensive.
Luckily on all but the worst of days the hit rate in the place market is so good we get away lightly.
But bad days DO happen and you must take that into account.
To be extra cautious I tend to stop recovery after the 1st full win early evening just to make sure I don't land on a triple loss at the end of racing day.
Apply a stop loss as you see fit. I sometimes do, sometimes I don't and sometimes I regret it either way!

 

Method 3:
SAW or SOW (stop at a win/on a win)
Two ways to do this, start at the top of the D.M
list, flat winning looking for a target figure of say £10. So bet what is needed to win £10 at the given odds e.g £5 @ 2/1.
If the 1st horse places (and it often does) it's over, profit made, feet up.
If not move to next race using full recovery. Bet again and continue betting until profit is made.
You can add a stop loss of say 4 or 5  losing bets if you like but it's doubtful you will need to although I have to say we once went 7 bets in as row without a win (ONCE in 6 months).
The other way is to bet £10 on the 1st bet, £20 on the second bet £30 on the 3rd etc. etc. until you hit the win.
Skip any bet that the odds will not allow a profit and move to next race .
Again put a stop loss in to suit you.

 

Horse Racing Strategy

 

Dutching

Considered one of the most popular racing betting strategies, dutching is a process which ensures that even when you bet on several horses, you will make the same profit regardless of which horse ends up winning.

 

Although you may believe dutching is not worth the money, there is a reason behind the madness – the mathematical way of calculating can be highly efficient when wanting to bet a specific amount.

 

Dutching can become a successful horse racing strategy when you decide how much you’re willing to bet and then work out the profits, regardless of how the race turns out.

 

Value Betting

Another horse racing betting strategy involves a more general method that can be applied to many betting opportunities. The goal is to maximise profits over time and there is a clever way to do so.

 

For example, let’s say that you have identified a selection that has been given an odds price of 2/1, but you believe that there might be a higher winning chance than that. If your calculations are correct, then you have a good value bet.

 

Of course, no horse racing betting system can guarantee complete success, but at least you will get the chance to improve your handicapping skills.

 

Horse Racing Rating Systems

Horse racing has been around for generations and it can seem increasingly hard to make your mark in an oversaturated market. If you’re looking for horse racing advice, it’s important to start by understanding the rating system – a way of scoring a horse’s performance and examining its potential in winning or performing well in a race.

 

  • Form
  • Speed – past and present
  • The reliability of the horse’s form
  • Performance
  • Trainer
  • Jockey
  • The current race – what elements are in this horse’s favour?

 

Having access to the horse racing rating systems can be hugely profitable and you can typically refer to either the official or speed ratings. However, the problem is identifying the most profitable horse racing system when bookmakers also have access to the same information.